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Forecast
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© 2026·AI-powered bite forecast
0.1.0+2161 · b4069346

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Canada / Prince Edward Island / Sea Northumberland Strait

Bite forecast: Sea Northumberland Strait

  • 12023.1 km²
Loading map…

Best fishing days for the next week

  1. TuesdaySeptember 8weather-based forecast
    68/100high activity

    Cloudy: 9–17 °C

Sea Northumberland Strait (Prince Edward Island) — a spot well known among anglers. About 12023.1 km² in area. The town of Charlottetown is nearby. A coastal water: the bite here is modelled for the sea, not for a river or a lake. A smart bite calendar — moon phase, atmospheric pressure, and weather combined into an hourly fish-activity forecast for the coming days.

WednesdaySeptember 2weather-based forecast
62/100high activity

Partly cloudy: 13–19 °C

  • ThursdaySeptember 3weather-based forecast
    62/100high activity

    Cloudy: 12–21 °C

  • Nearby towns

    • Charlottetown15 km

    Nearby rivers

    • DeSable River5 km
    • West River11 km

    Nearby water bodies

    • SeaNorthumberland Strait0 km
    • SeaNorthumberland Strait0 km
    • LakeStewarts Pond2 km
    • BayVictoria Harbour4 km
    • BayVictoria Harbour4 km
    • LakeLords Pond5 km
    • LakeLords Pond5 km
    • LakeIves Pond6 km
    • BayCumberland Cove8 km
    • BayCumberland Cove8 km
    Loading map…

    BiteGuide·From anglers’ reports

    What actually worked on this water

    Based on 6 verified catchesPeriod: 2021–2026

    This is a summary of anglers' reports, not a proven cause of the bite: conditions lining up does not mean they drove it.

    By fish species

    vertical axis — number of catches

    012
    2211
    Atlantic mackerelBrook troutEuropean eelRainbow smelt
    By fish species
    ValueCatchesShare
    Atlantic mackerel233%
    Brook trout233%
    European eel117%
    Rainbow smelt117%

    By month

    vertical axis — number of catches

    023
    1131
    JulAugSepOct
    By month
    ValueCatchesShare
    Jul117%
    Aug117%
    Sep350%
    Oct117%

    By time of day

    vertical axis — number of catches

    012
    12111
    46101115
    By time of day
    ValueCatchesShare
    04:00117%
    06:00233%
    10:00117%
    11:00117%
    15:00117%

    Catches

    Recorded 6 catches here. Most commonly caught: Atlantic mackerel, Brook trout, European eel. Peak season: July–October.

    • Atlantic mackerel — Charlottetown Harbour, Jul 28, 6:08 PM
      Atlantic mackerel
      Charlottetown Harbour
      Jul 28, 6:08 PM
    • Brook trout — Morell River, Sep 04, 2025, 2:22 PM
      Brook trout
      Morell River
      Sep 04, 2025, 2:22 PM

    Bite calendar

    Wednesday, September 2

    Aug 31 – Sep 6
    Mon
    Tue
    Wed
    Thu
    Fri
    Sat
    Sun
    Bite activity:highmediumlowslow
    Based on:weatherseasonal
    What is a bite calendar?
    Atlantic mackerelBluefin tunaFlounderStriped bassAtlantic salmonAtlantic codAtlantic halibutRainbow smelt

    Atlantic cod

    5/10 · Fair

    Hourly activity

    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00
    Bite activity:highmediumlow

    The bite is moderate — fish feed in short bursts. Pressure is rising — activity tends to be more subdued.

    Peak bite hours

    Best time — 06:00–08:00 (dawn bite) and 19:00–21:00 (dusk bite).

    Tactics

    Look for structure — reefs, flats, channel edges; work them slowly near the bottom.

    Lures

    In clear water, natural colors work best: pirk or lugworm bottom rig.

    Gear

    Pack transitional-season clothing — mornings and evenings are chilly.

    Summary

    An average day — best chances during peak windows.

    How this forecast is calculated

    Why this forecast

    The computed water temperature is around 18 °C — warmer than the 4–12 °C comfort range for Atlantic cod: in the heat it drops deeper and feeds less often.

    Computed water temperature by month; the green band is the 4–12 °C comfort rangecomfort 4–12 °C18 °C
    JFMAMJJASOND

    Atlantic cod works the twilight: the peaks are pinned to sunrise and sunset — their times are in the sun-and-moon card above.

    The day: daylight hours and when Atlantic cod feeds0:0012:0024:00

    Pressure is rising 2 hPa over the day — the bite usually settles down after a rise.

    Pressure through the day, 2 hPa change
    00:00 · 102323:00 · 1025 hPa

    One more input — the moon's feeding windows: within their hours the score sits higher than across the rest of the day. The window times are in the “Solunar feeding periods” card below.

    Feeding windows on the day scale0:0012:0024:00

    September is an average month for Atlantic cod here.

    JFMAMJJASOND

    These are the same values the bite curve above was computed from. How the forecast works

    Tides

    • High water01:040.4 m
    • Low water07:50-1.4 m
    • High water13:490.2 m
    • Low water19:54-1.0 m
    0:006:0012:0018:0023:000:006:0012:0018:0023:00
    Sea level height by hour
    00:0001:0002:0003:0004:0005:0006:0007:0008:0009:0010:0011:0012:0013:0014:0015:0016:0017:0018:0019:0020:0021:0022:0023:00
    0.3 m0.4 m0.4 m0.1 m-0.4 m-0.8 m-1.1 m-1.3 m-1.4 m-1.2 m-0.9 m-0.5 m-0.1 m0.2 m0.2 m0.1 m-0.2 m-0.5 m-0.7 m-0.9 m-1.0 m-0.9 m-0.6 m-0.2 m

    Open-Meteo tide model, grid point 5.6 km away

    Water

    Water temp.
    21 °C
    In the model
    18 °C
    Wave
    0.1 m
    Period
    2 s

    Open-Meteo Marine model, grid cell 5.6 km from the waterbody. Values are daily means.

    2 SepWednesday, September 2
    +19°

    Partly cloudy · feels like +18°

    Low / high
    +12°…+19°
    Precipitation
    0.0 mm
    Wind
    3 m/s N
    Cloud cover
    28%
    Humidity
    63%
    Pressure
    1026 hPa
    00:00+14°—2 m/seast wind, 2 m/s81%33%
    01:00+13°—2 m/seast wind, 2 m/s80%34%
    02:00+13°—2 m/seast wind, 2 m/s79%20%
    03:00+13°—3 m/snortheast wind, 3 m/s80%33%
    04:00+12°—2 m/snorth wind, 2 m/s81%15%
    05:00+12°—2 m/snorthwest wind, 2 m/s82%38%
    06:00+13°—2 m/snorth wind, 2 m/s84%100%
    07:00+13°—2 m/snorth wind, 2 m/s82%65%
    08:00+14°—2 m/snorth wind, 2 m/s84%39%
    09:00+16°—2 m/snortheast wind, 2 m/s75%33%
    10:00+18°—2 m/snortheast wind, 2 m/s67%37%
    11:00+18°—2 m/snorth wind, 2 m/s64%72%
    12:00+19°—3 m/snorth wind, 3 m/s63%28%
    13:00+19°—4 m/snorth wind, 4 m/s64%48%
    14:00+19°—4 m/snorth wind, 4 m/s65%27%
    15:00+19°—4 m/snorth wind, 4 m/s64%30%
    16:00+19°—4 m/snorth wind, 4 m/s63%90%
    17:00+19°—3 m/snortheast wind, 3 m/s64%100%
    18:00+18°—3 m/snorth wind, 3 m/s64%99%
    19:00+18°—3 m/snortheast wind, 3 m/s67%100%
    20:00+16°—2 m/snortheast wind, 2 m/s72%100%
    21:00+15°—2 m/seast wind, 2 m/s75%100%
    22:00+14°—3 m/seast wind, 3 m/s82%12%
    23:00+13°—3 m/seast wind, 3 m/s84%30%
    +19°+16°+12°
    Weather throughout the day
    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00

    Sun and moon

    Wednesday, September 2
    The day: daylight and the hours the moon is above the horizon. Local time0:0012:0024:00
    DaylightMoon above the horizon
    Sunrise
    06:34
    Sunset
    19:49
    Day length
    13 h 15 min
    Sunshine hours
    12 h
    UV index
    5
    moderate
    Moon
    Waning gibbous
    Moonrise
    21:55
    Moonset
    13:01

    The day is 3 min shorter than yesterday.

    Sunshine hours count direct sun only — cloud cover cuts it, so it is shorter than daylight.

    Solunar feeding periods

    +15% in the windowWednesday, September 2
    Feeding windows on the day scale, local time0:0012:0024:00
    Major periodsMinor periods
    • Major04:05–06:05Moon overhead
    • Minor12:31–13:31Moonset
    • Major16:32–18:32Moon underfoot
    • Minor21:25–22:25Moonrise

    The windows are set by the moon's transit and rise, and the forecast above already accounts for them: within these hours the bite score sits higher than across the rest of the day, while the day's overall level still comes from the catch-calibrated model.

    What are solunar periods?
    Brook trout — Morell River, Sep 04, 2025, 1:46 PM
    Brook trout
    Morell River
    Sep 04, 2025, 1:46 PM
  • Atlantic mackerel — Northumberland Strait, Aug 02, 2025, 7:28 AM
    Atlantic mackerel
    Northumberland Strait
    Aug 02, 2025, 7:28 AM
  • European eel — Rustico Bay, Sep 02, 2022, 9:54 AM
    European eel
    Rustico Bay
    Sep 02, 2022, 9:54 AM
  • Rainbow smelt — Northumberland Strait, Oct 15, 2021, 9:19 AM
    Rainbow smelt
    Northumberland Strait
    Oct 15, 2021, 9:19 AM