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Bay Alligator Creek (Florida) — a popular fishing spot. About 5 ha in area. Nearby towns: Fort Myers and Cape Coral. This is a sea water — its bite forecast is a marine one, computed apart from rivers and lakes. See when the bite is best: hourly fish activity for the days ahead, computed from the weather, pressure, and season.
Nearest towns and cities
Other nearby places to fish
Other nearby waters
The shoreline is heavily indented — bays, points and spits. Look for largemouth bass at the mouths of the bays and on the drop-offs behind the points. Smaller than 13 of the 19 waters nearby.
The water is sheltered: there is almost no fetch, so wind stirs it up very little.
Florida: the months when each species peaks and when it goes quiet. The current month is outlined.
| Fish | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Black drum | peak | peak | peak | active | fair | fair | fair | active | active | active | active | active |
| Bluefish | active | peak | peak | active | active | active | peak | active | active | fair | slow | fair |
| Flounder | active | peak | peak | active | active | active | peak | active | active | fair | slow | fair |
| Red snapper | active | peak | peak | active | active | active | peak | active | active | fair | slow | fair |
| Striped bass | active | peak | peak | active | active | active | peak | peak | active | slow | slow | slow |
| Red drum | fair | fair | active | peak | active | active | peak | peak | peak | active | fair | fair |
| Sheepshead | peak | peak | peak | active | fair | fair | fair | fair | active | active | peak | peak |
| Cobia | slow | active | peak | peak | active | fair | fair | fair | active | fair | slow | slow |
| King mackerel | slow | fair | active | peak | peak | peak | active | slow | slow | slow | slow | slow |
| Mahi-mahi | slow | fair | active | peak | peak | peak | active | slow | slow | slow | slow | slow |
| Snook | slow | fair | active | peak | peak | peak | active | slow | slow | slow | slow | slow |
| Spanish mackerel | slow | fair | active | peak | peak | peak | active | slow | slow | slow | slow | slow |
| Spotted seatrout | slow | fair | peak | peak | peak | peak | active | slow | slow | slow | slow | slow |
| Tarpon | slow | fair | active | peak | peak | peak | active | slow | slow | slow | slow | slow |
Wednesday, October 21
Look for structure — reefs, flats, channel edges; work them slowly near the bottom.
Alligator Creek — Wednesday, October 21
The bite is strong — fish are active. Pressure is dropping — this usually boosts the bite. Peak 00:00–04:00 and 23:00–23:00.
The computed water temperature is around 69 °F — inside the 61–79 °F comfort range for Black drum, so baseline activity is high.
Black drum feeds at night: the peak falls in the dark hours, between sunset and sunrise.
Pressure is dropping 0.03 inHg over the day — fish are usually more active ahead of a weather change.
One more input — the moon's feeding windows: within their hours the score sits higher than across the rest of the day. The window times are in the “Solunar feeding periods” card below.
October is an active season for Black drum here.
These are the same values the bite curve above was computed from. How the forecast works
| 00:00 | 01:00 | 02:00 | 03:00 | 04:00 | 05:00 | 06:00 | 07:00 | 08:00 | 09:00 | 10:00 | 11:00 | 12:00 | 13:00 | 14:00 | 15:00 | 16:00 | 17:00 | 18:00 | 19:00 | 20:00 | 21:00 | 22:00 | 23:00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0.3 ft | -0.5 ft | -0.8 ft | -0.9 ft | -0.7 ft | -0.3 ft | 0.0 ft | 0.3 ft | 0.5 ft | 0.6 ft | 0.5 ft | 0.2 ft | -0.2 ft | -0.5 ft | -0.8 ft | -1.0 ft | -1.0 ft | -0.7 ft | -0.3 ft | 0.1 ft | 0.4 ft | 0.6 ft | 0.7 ft | 0.5 ft |
Open-Meteo tide model, grid point 11.2 mi away
Open-Meteo Marine model, grid cell 11.2 mi from the waterbody. Values are daily means.
Clear · feels like +69°
The day is 1 min shorter than yesterday.
Sunshine hours count direct sun only — cloud cover cuts it, so it is shorter than daylight.
Geomagnetic fieldG1 geomagnetic storm, Kp 4.7
Kp index — NOAA forecast. Not part of the bite score: catches show no link between geomagnetic storms and the bite.
The windows are set by the moon's transit and rise, and the forecast above already accounts for them: within these hours the bite score sits higher than across the rest of the day, while the day's overall level still comes from the catch-calibrated model.
What are solunar periods?Look for structure — reefs, flats, channel edges; work them slowly near the bottom.
Alligator Creek — Wednesday, October 21
The bite is strong — fish are active. Pressure is dropping — this usually boosts the bite. Peak 00:00–04:00 and 23:00–23:00.