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United States / Florida / First Bay

Bite forecast: First Bay

  • 1.1 sq mi
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Best fishing days for the next week

  1. ThursdaySeptember 10weather-based forecast
    34/100medium activity

    Clear: 79–93 °F

First Bay (Florida) — one of the area's fishing spots. About 2.8 km² in area. Salt water, not fresh — so this page carries its own marine bite forecast. A smart bite calendar — moon phase, atmospheric pressure, and weather combined into an hourly fish-activity forecast for the coming days.

SaturdaySeptember 5weather-based forecast
31/100medium activity

Cloudy: 75–86 °F

  • WednesdaySeptember 9weather-based forecast
    30/100medium activity

    Partly cloudy: 73–95 °F

  • Nearby rivers

    • Lostmans River0.3 mi
    • Rodgers River6 mi
    • Plate Creek8 mi
    • Broad Creek9 mi

    Nearby water bodies

    • BayWood Key Cove3 mi
    • BaySecond Bay3 mi
    • BayToms Bight4 mi
    • BayAlligator Cove5 mi
    Loading map…

    Bite calendar

    Friday, September 4

    Aug 31 – Sep 6
    Mon
    Tue
    Wed
    Thu
    Fri
    Sat
    Sun
    Bite activity:highmediumlowslow
    Based on:weatherseasonal
    What is a bite calendar?
    Red drumBlack drumStriped bassCobiaFlounderBluefishRed snapperSheepsheadKing mackerelMahi-mahiSnookSpanish mackerelSpotted seatroutTarpon

    Black drum

    6/10 · Fair

    Hourly activity

    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00
    Bite activity:highmediumlow

    The bite is moderate — fish feed in short bursts. A thunderstorm is possible: activity rises before the front and drops after.

    Peak bite hours

    Best time — 00:00–05:00 and 23:00–23:00 (nighttime activity).

    Tactics

    Look for structure — reefs, flats, channel edges; work them slowly near the bottom.

    Lures

    The water's turning murky — go with bright, noisy lures: soft-plastic jig or live bait.

    Gear

    It's a hot day — a hat, sunglasses, and plenty of water are a must. A thunderstorm is possible — bring a rain jacket, and pack up at the first rumble of thunder.

    Summary

    An average day — best chances during peak windows.

    How this forecast is calculated

    Why this forecast

    The computed water temperature is around 80 °F — warmer than the 61–79 °F comfort range for Black drum: in the heat it drops deeper and feeds less often.

    Computed water temperature by month; the green band is the 61–79 °F comfort rangecomfort 61–79 °F80 °F
    JFMAMJJASOND

    Black drum feeds at night: the peak falls in the dark hours, between sunset and sunrise.

    The day: daylight hours and when Black drum feeds0:0012:0024:00

    Pressure is flat: it moves no more than 0.00 inHg over the day, so the weather isn't shifting today's bite.

    Pressure through the day, 0.00 inHg change
    00:00 · 29.9623:00 · 29.97 inHg

    One more input — the moon's feeding windows: within their hours the score sits higher than across the rest of the day. The window times are in the “Solunar feeding periods” card below.

    Feeding windows on the day scale0:0012:0024:00

    September is an active season for Black drum here.

    JFMAMJJASOND

    These are the same values the bite curve above was computed from. How the forecast works

    Tides

    • High water06:001.5 ft
    • Low water13:18-2.5 ft
    • High water19:500.2 ft
    0:006:0012:0018:0023:000:006:0012:0018:0023:00
    Sea level height by hour
    00:0001:0002:0003:0004:0005:0006:0007:0008:0009:0010:0011:0012:0013:0014:0015:0016:0017:0018:0019:0020:0021:0022:0023:00
    -1.2 ft-1.0 ft-0.6 ft-0.1 ft0.6 ft1.3 ft1.5 ft1.3 ft0.7 ft0.0 ft-0.8 ft-1.6 ft-2.3 ft-2.5 ft-2.5 ft-2.1 ft-1.5 ft-0.7 ft-0.1 ft0.2 ft0.2 ft0.2 ft-0.0 ft-0.4 ft

    Open-Meteo tide model, grid point 0.8 mi away

    Water

    Water temp.
    89 °F
    In the model
    80 °F
    Wave
    0.4 ft
    Period
    2 s

    Open-Meteo Marine model, grid cell 0.8 mi from the waterbody. Values are daily means.

    4 SepFriday, September 4
    +84°

    Cloudy · feels like +97°

    Low / high
    +76°…+84°
    Precipitation
    0.00 in
    Wind
    2 mph SE
    Cloud cover
    100%
    Humidity
    82%
    Pressure
    30.00 inHg
    00:00+77°—3 mphnortheast wind, 3 mph92%53%
    01:00+77°—5 mpheast wind, 5 mph93%100%
    02:00+77°—4 mpheast wind, 4 mph93%100%
    03:00+77°—6 mpheast wind, 6 mph94%82%
    04:00+76°—5 mpheast wind, 5 mph94%53%
    05:00+76°—6 mpheast wind, 6 mph94%91%
    06:00+77°—5 mpheast wind, 5 mph94%87%
    07:00+76°—5 mpheast wind, 5 mph94%76%
    08:00+77°—4 mpheast wind, 4 mph95%26%
    09:00+78°—5 mphsoutheast wind, 5 mph93%100%
    10:00+79°—5 mphsoutheast wind, 5 mph92%80%
    11:00+82°—5 mphsoutheast wind, 5 mph82%100%
    12:00+84°—2 mphsoutheast wind, 2 mph82%100%
    13:00+78°0.21 in12 mphsoutheast wind, 12 mph90%100%
    14:00+79°—3 mpheast wind, 3 mph88%85%
    15:00+77°0.88 in16 mphsouth wind, 16 mph90%100%
    16:00+81°—6 mphsoutheast wind, 6 mph83%100%
    17:00+81°—7 mphsouth wind, 7 mph87%100%
    18:00+80°—5 mphsouth wind, 5 mph79%100%
    19:00+81°—5 mphsouthwest wind, 5 mph89%44%
    20:00+80°—2 mpheast wind, 2 mph91%100%
    21:00+79°—4 mpheast wind, 4 mph92%83%
    22:00+78°—3 mpheast wind, 3 mph94%91%
    23:00+77°—3 mpheast wind, 3 mph94%100%
    +84°+80°+76°
    Weather throughout the day
    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00

    Sun and moon

    Friday, September 4
    The day: daylight and the hours the moon is above the horizon. Local time0:0012:0024:00
    DaylightMoon above the horizon
    Sunrise
    07:12
    Sunset
    19:52
    Day length
    12 h 40 min
    Sunshine hours
    2 h 27 min
    UV index
    4
    moderate
    Moon
    Last quarter
    Moonrise
    00:01
    Moonset
    14:33

    The day is 1 min shorter than yesterday.

    Sunshine hours count direct sun only — cloud cover cuts it, so it is shorter than daylight.

    Solunar feeding periods

    +13% in the windowFriday, September 4
    Feeding windows on the day scale, local time0:0012:0024:00
    Major periodsMinor periods
    • Minor00:00–00:31Moonrise
    • Major06:16–08:16Moon overhead
    • Minor14:03–15:03Moonset
    • Major18:47–20:47Moon underfoot

    The windows are set by the moon's transit and rise, and the forecast above already accounts for them: within these hours the bite score sits higher than across the rest of the day, while the day's overall level still comes from the catch-calibrated model.

    What are solunar periods?