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United States / Florida / River Hogan's Creek

Bite forecast: River Hogan's Creek

  • length 1 mi
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Best fishing days for the next week

  1. WednesdaySeptember 9weather-based forecast
    30/100medium activity

    Cloudy: 73–88 °F

  2. ThursdaySeptember 3weather-based forecast
    29/100low activity

    Partly cloudy: 75–86 °F

  3. SaturdaySeptember 5weather-based forecast
    28/100low activity

    Cloudy: 77–88 °F

River Hogan's Creek (Florida) — one of the area's fishing spots. About 1 km long. The town of Jacksonville is nearby. A smart bite calendar — moon phase, atmospheric pressure, and weather combined into an hourly fish-activity forecast for the coming days.

Nearby towns

  • Jacksonville0.6 mi

Nearby rivers

  • Miller Creek1 mi
  • Arlington River3 mi
  • Little Pottsburg Creek3 mi
  • Silversmith Creek4 mi
  • Moncrief Creek4 mi
  • Strawberry Creek4 mi
  • Pottsburg Creek5 mi
  • Newcastle Creek5 mi
  • Drummond Creek6 mi
  • Ribault River6 mi

Nearby water bodies

  • LakeMarco Lake2 mi
  • LakeDuck Pond3 mi
  • LakeLake Valentine3 mi
  • LakeLake Lucina3 mi
  • PondSaint Augustine Road Fish Management Area South Pond4 mi
  • ReservoirHolly Oaks Lake7 mi
Loading map…

Bite calendar

Thursday, September 3

Aug 31 – Sep 6
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
Bite activity:highmediumlowslow
Based on:weatherseasonal
What is a bite calendar?
Black crappieStriped bassWhite bassWhite crappieLargemouth bassBlue catfishBluegillCarpChannel catfishFlathead catfishGrass carpSpotted bass

Black crappie

6/10 · Fair

Hourly activity

0:006:0012:0018:0023:00
Bite activity:highmediumlow

The bite is moderate — fish feed in short bursts. Weather is steady, with no sharp swings — fish behave predictably.

Peak bite hours

Best time — 07:00–09:00 (dawn bite) and 20:00–21:00 (dusk bite).

Tactics

Work the cover — snags, weed edges, hole entrances; retrieve the lure with pauses.

Lures

The water's turning murky — go with bright, noisy lures: small jig or minnow bait.

Gear

It's a hot day — a hat, sunglasses, and plenty of water are a must. Rain is expected — don't forget a rain jacket or a waterproof shell.

Summary

An average day — best chances during peak windows.

How this forecast is calculated

Why this forecast

The computed water temperature is around 80 °F — warmer than the 57–75 °F comfort range for Black crappie: in the heat it drops deeper and feeds less often.

Computed water temperature by month; the green band is the 57–75 °F comfort rangecomfort 57–75 °F80 °F
JFMAMJJASOND

Black crappie works the twilight: the peaks are pinned to sunrise and sunset — their times are in the sun-and-moon card above.

The day: daylight hours and when Black crappie feeds0:0012:0024:00

Pressure is dropping 0.03 inHg over the day — fish are usually more active ahead of a weather change.

Pressure through the day, 0.03 inHg change
00:00 · 30.0223:00 · 29.98 inHg

One more input — the moon's feeding windows: within their hours the score sits higher than across the rest of the day. The window times are in the “Solunar feeding periods” card below.

Feeding windows on the day scale0:0012:0024:00

September is an active season for Black crappie here.

JFMAMJJASOND

These are the same values the bite curve above was computed from. How the forecast works

3 SepThursday, September 3
+84°

Partly cloudy · feels like +95°

Low / high
+76°…+86°
Precipitation
0.00 in
Wind
7 mph ENE
Cloud cover
63%
Humidity
82%
Pressure
30.01 inHg
00:00+77°—4 mpheast wind, 4 mph91%100%
01:00+77°—3 mpheast wind, 3 mph92%94%
02:00+77°—4 mphnortheast wind, 4 mph93%100%
03:00+77°—4 mphnortheast wind, 4 mph94%85%
04:00+76°—3 mphnorth wind, 3 mph95%100%
05:00+76°—4 mphnortheast wind, 4 mph95%100%
06:00+76°—4 mphnortheast wind, 4 mph95%66%
07:00+76°—3 mphnortheast wind, 3 mph95%21%
08:00+77°—6 mphnortheast wind, 6 mph95%12%
09:00+78°—7 mphnortheast wind, 7 mph92%56%
10:00+80°—8 mphnortheast wind, 8 mph90%34%
11:00+82°—7 mpheast wind, 7 mph85%64%
12:00+84°—7 mpheast wind, 7 mph82%63%
13:00+85°—7 mpheast wind, 7 mph77%65%
14:00+86°—7 mpheast wind, 7 mph73%15%
15:00+86°—7 mpheast wind, 7 mph73%77%
16:00+86°—6 mpheast wind, 6 mph72%66%
17:00+86°—6 mpheast wind, 6 mph75%67%
18:00+83°—7 mphsoutheast wind, 7 mph82%100%
19:00+81°0.02 in4 mphnortheast wind, 4 mph87%100%
20:00+78°—6 mphnortheast wind, 6 mph89%100%
21:00+78°—6 mpheast wind, 6 mph92%100%
22:00+77°—5 mpheast wind, 5 mph92%100%
23:00+77°—5 mpheast wind, 5 mph92%92%
+86°+81°+76°
Weather throughout the day
0:006:0012:0018:0023:00

Sun and moon

Thursday, September 3
The day: daylight and the hours the moon is above the horizon. Local time0:0012:0024:00
DaylightMoon above the horizon
Sunrise
07:12
Sunset
19:54
Day length
12 h 42 min
Sunshine hours
7 h 8 min
UV index
6
high
Moon
Last quarter
Moonrise
23:54
Moonset
13:42

The day is 2 min shorter than yesterday.

Sunshine hours count direct sun only — cloud cover cuts it, so it is shorter than daylight.

Solunar feeding periods

+15% in the windowThursday, September 3
Feeding windows on the day scale, local time0:0012:0024:00
Major periodsMinor periods
  • Major05:20–07:20Moon overhead
  • Minor13:12–14:12Moonset
  • Major17:50–19:50Moon underfoot
  • Minor23:24–00:00Moonrise

The windows are set by the moon's transit and rise, and the forecast above already accounts for them: within these hours the bite score sits higher than across the rest of the day, while the day's overall level still comes from the catch-calibrated model.

What are solunar periods?