Where to fish

  • Forecast
  • Catches

Mine

  • Favorites

Where to fish

  • Forecast
  • Catches

Mine

  • Favorites
ForecastCatchesFavorites
AboutHow the forecast worksWhere fish livePrivacyTerms[email protected]
© 2026·AI-powered bite forecast
0.1.0+2163 · 92c14a40

We use cookies for analytics and advertising. Cookies necessary for the site to function are always kept. Learn more

United States / Florida / Lake Tarpon

Bite forecast: Lake Tarpon

  • 3.9 sq mi
Loading map…

Best fishing days for the next week

  1. ThursdaySeptember 3weather-based forecast
    31/100medium activity

    Partly cloudy: 75–86 °F

Lake Tarpon (Florida) — one of the area's fishing spots. About 10.2 km² in area. Nearby towns: Palm Harbor and Clearwater. See when the bite is best: hourly fish activity for the days ahead, computed from the weather, pressure, and season.

Nearby rivers

  • Anclote River7 mi

Nearby water bodies

  • LakeLake Tarpon0.4 mi
  • ReservoirWater Management Dike1 mi
  • LakeHidden Lake3 mi
  • LakeSaint George Lake4 mi
  • LakeLake Chautauqua4 mi
  • LakeLake Nash4 mi
  • PondPond 285 mi
  • LakeLake Avoca5 mi
  • LakeLake Conley5 mi
  • LakeLake Saundra6 mi
SaturdaySeptember 5weather-based forecast
31/100medium activity

Cloudy: 77–84 °F

  • WednesdaySeptember 2weather-based forecast
    30/100medium activity

    Cloudy: 75–88 °F

  • Nearby towns

    • Palm Harbor3 mi
    • Clearwater9 mi

    Bite calendar

    Aug 31 – Sep 6
    Mon
    Tue
    Wed
    Thu
    Fri
    Sat
    Sun
    Bite activity:highmediumlowslow
    Based on:weatherseasonal
    What is a bite calendar?
    Black crappieStriped bassWhite bassWhite crappieLargemouth bassBlue catfishBluegillCarpChannel catfishFlathead catfishGrass carpSpotted bass

    Black crappie

    6/10 · Fair

    Hourly activity

    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00
    Bite activity:highmediumlow

    The bite is moderate — fish feed in short bursts. Weather is steady, with no sharp swings — fish behave predictably.

    Peak bite hours

    Best time — 07:00–09:00 (dawn bite) and 19:00–21:00 (dusk bite).

    Tactics

    Look for drop-offs and gaps in the weeds, retrieve slowly, lingering over promising spots.

    Lures

    In clear water, natural colors work best: small jig or minnow bait.

    Gear

    It's a hot day — a hat, sunglasses, and plenty of water are a must.

    Summary

    An average day — best chances during peak windows.

    How this forecast is calculated

    Why this forecast

    The computed water temperature is around 80 °F — warmer than the 57–75 °F comfort range for Black crappie: in the heat it drops deeper and feeds less often.

    Computed water temperature by month; the green band is the 57–75 °F comfort rangecomfort 57–75 °F80 °F
    JFMAMJJASOND

    Black crappie works the twilight: the peaks are pinned to sunrise and sunset — their times are in the sun-and-moon card above.

    The day: daylight hours and when Black crappie feeds0:0012:0024:00

    Pressure is flat: it moves no more than 0.03 inHg over the day, so the weather isn't shifting today's bite.

    Pressure through the day, 0.03 inHg change
    00:00 · 30.0423:00 · 30.02 inHg

    One more input — the moon's feeding windows: within their hours the score sits higher than across the rest of the day. The window times are in the “Solunar feeding periods” card below.

    Feeding windows on the day scale0:0012:0024:00

    September is an active season for Black crappie here.

    JFMAMJJASOND

    These are the same values the bite curve above was computed from. How the forecast works

    2 SepWednesday, September 2
    +85°

    Cloudy · feels like +95°

    Low / high
    +76°…+88°
    Precipitation
    0.00 in
    Wind
    7 mph NNE
    Cloud cover
    95%
    Humidity
    74%
    Pressure
    30.09 inHg
    00:00+78°—1 mphnorth wind, 1 mph94%44%
    01:00+78°—2 mphnorth wind, 2 mph94%0%
    02:00+77°—3 mphnorth wind, 3 mph95%68%
    03:00+77°—3 mphnorth wind, 3 mph95%100%
    04:00+77°—3 mphnorth wind, 3 mph95%100%
    05:00+77°—3 mphnorth wind, 3 mph95%85%
    06:00+76°—4 mphnorth wind, 4 mph94%26%
    07:00+76°—4 mphnortheast wind, 4 mph93%100%
    08:00+76°—4 mphnortheast wind, 4 mph93%100%
    09:00+78°—5 mphnortheast wind, 5 mph93%100%
    10:00+80°—5 mphnorth wind, 5 mph90%66%
    11:00+83°—7 mphnorth wind, 7 mph79%75%
    12:00+85°—7 mphnortheast wind, 7 mph74%95%
    13:00+85°—7 mphnortheast wind, 7 mph73%32%
    14:00+87°—6 mphnortheast wind, 6 mph70%37%
    15:00+87°—5 mphnortheast wind, 5 mph68%100%
    16:00+88°—4 mphnorth wind, 4 mph66%100%
    17:00+88°—5 mphnortheast wind, 5 mph65%100%
    18:00+85°—8 mphnortheast wind, 8 mph77%100%
    19:00+79°—7 mphnortheast wind, 7 mph87%100%
    20:00+78°—4 mphnorth wind, 4 mph88%100%
    21:00+77°—2 mpheast wind, 2 mph90%100%
    22:00+77°—3 mpheast wind, 3 mph92%100%
    23:00+76°—3 mpheast wind, 3 mph93%96%
    +88°+82°+76°
    Weather throughout the day
    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00

    Sun and moon

    Wednesday, September 2
    The day: daylight and the hours the moon is above the horizon. Local time0:0012:0024:00
    DaylightMoon above the horizon
    Sunrise
    07:11
    Sunset
    19:55
    Day length
    12 h 44 min
    Sunshine hours
    6 h 43 min
    UV index
    6
    high
    Moon
    Waning gibbous
    Moonrise
    23:13
    Moonset
    12:33

    The day is 2 min shorter than yesterday.

    Sunshine hours count direct sun only — cloud cover cuts it, so it is shorter than daylight.

    Solunar feeding periods

    +14% in the windowWednesday, September 2
    Feeding windows on the day scale, local time0:0012:0024:00
    Major periodsMinor periods
    • Major04:28–06:28Moon overhead
    • Minor12:03–13:03Moonset
    • Major16:55–18:55Moon underfoot
    • Minor22:43–23:43Moonrise

    The windows are set by the moon's transit and rise, and the forecast above already accounts for them: within these hours the bite score sits higher than across the rest of the day, while the day's overall level still comes from the catch-calibrated model.

    What are solunar periods?

    Catches

    Recorded 6 catches here. Most commonly caught: Largemouth bass. Peak season: January–May.

    • Largemouth bass
      Lake Tarpon
      77 °F25 mph
      Apr 20, 2020
    • Largemouth bass
      Lake Tarpon
      81 °F7 mph
      Mar 20, 2020
    • Largemouth bass
      Lake Tarpon
      68 °F11 mph
      Feb 09, 2020
    • Largemouth bass
      Lake Tarpon
      59 °F11 mph
      Jan 30, 2020
    • Largemouth bass
      Lake Tarpon
      81 °F9 mph
      May 22, 2018
    • Largemouth bass
      Lake Tarpon
      55 °F13 mph
      Jan 07, 2018
    Loading map…

    BiteGuide·From anglers’ reports

    What actually worked on this water

    Based on 6 verified catchesPeriod: 2018–2020

    This is a summary of anglers' reports, not a proven cause of the bite: conditions lining up does not mean they drove it.

    By month

    vertical axis — number of catches

    012
    21111
    JanFebMarAprMay
    By month
    ValueCatchesShare
    Jan233%
    Feb117%
    Mar117%
    Apr117%
    May117%

    Air temperature, °F

    vertical axis — number of catches

    023
    1113
    50596877
    Air temperature, °F
    ValueCatchesShare
    50–57 °F117%
    59–66 °F117%
    68–75 °F117%
    77–84 °F350%

    Pressure, inHg

    vertical axis — number of catches

    023
    123
    29.7229.9230.31
    Pressure, inHg
    ValueCatchesShare
    29.72–29.88 inHg117%
    29.92–30.08 inHg233%
    30.31–30.47 inHg350%

    Wind direction

    vertical axis — number of catches

    012
    2121
    NEESESW
    Wind direction
    ValueCatchesShare
    NE233%
    E117%
    SE233%
    SW117%

    Wind speed, mph

    vertical axis — number of catches

    023
    1311
    491322
    Wind speed, mph
    ValueCatchesShare
    4–7 mph117%
    9–11 mph350%
    13–16 mph117%
    22–25 mph117%