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© 2026·AI-powered bite forecast
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United States / Florida / River McKay Creek

Bite forecast: River McKay Creek

  • length 13 mi
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Best fishing days for the next week

  1. WednesdaySeptember 9weather-based forecast
    30/100medium activity

    Cloudy: 73–88 °F

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Nearby rivers

  • Church Creek1 mi
  • Clearwater Pass4 mi
  • Cross Bayou Canal6 mi

Nearby water bodies

  • ReservoirTaylor Lake0.8 mi
  • LakeRidgecrest Lake1 mi
  • ReservoirWalsingham Reservoir3 mi
  • LakeLake Belleview3 mi
  • LakeLake Seminole4 mi
  • LakeSunny Lake4 mi
  • PondDyson Lake4 mi
  • LakeLake Allen4 mi
  • LakeCrest Lake4 mi
  • LakeSwan Lake5 mi

River McKay Creek (Florida) — a spot well known among anglers. About 21 km long. Nearby towns: Largo, Seminole and Clearwater. This page shows an hourly bite forecast for today and the week ahead; the algorithm factors in the weather, atmospheric pressure, and the moon phase.

ThursdaySeptember 3weather-based forecast
29/100low activity

Partly cloudy: 75–86 °F

  • SaturdaySeptember 5weather-based forecast
    28/100low activity

    Cloudy: 77–88 °F

  • Nearby towns

    • Largo0.9 mi
    • Seminole3 mi
    • Clearwater3 mi

    Bite calendar

    Thursday, September 3

    Aug 31 – Sep 6
    Mon
    Tue
    Wed
    Thu
    Fri
    Sat
    Sun
    Bite activity:highmediumlowslow
    Based on:weatherseasonal
    What is a bite calendar?
    Black crappieStriped bassWhite bassWhite crappieLargemouth bassBlue catfishBluegillCarpChannel catfishFlathead catfishGrass carpSpotted bass

    Black crappie

    6/10 · Fair

    Hourly activity

    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00
    Bite activity:highmediumlow

    The bite is moderate — fish feed in short bursts. Weather is steady, with no sharp swings — fish behave predictably.

    Peak bite hours

    Best time — 07:00–09:00 (dawn bite) and 20:00–21:00 (dusk bite).

    Tactics

    Work the cover — snags, weed edges, hole entrances; retrieve the lure with pauses.

    Lures

    The water's turning murky — go with bright, noisy lures: small jig or minnow bait.

    Gear

    It's a hot day — a hat, sunglasses, and plenty of water are a must. Rain is expected — don't forget a rain jacket or a waterproof shell.

    Summary

    An average day — best chances during peak windows.

    How this forecast is calculated

    Why this forecast

    The computed water temperature is around 80 °F — warmer than the 57–75 °F comfort range for Black crappie: in the heat it drops deeper and feeds less often.

    Computed water temperature by month; the green band is the 57–75 °F comfort rangecomfort 57–75 °F80 °F
    JFMAMJJASOND

    Black crappie works the twilight: the peaks are pinned to sunrise and sunset — their times are in the sun-and-moon card above.

    The day: daylight hours and when Black crappie feeds0:0012:0024:00

    Pressure is dropping 0.03 inHg over the day — fish are usually more active ahead of a weather change.

    Pressure through the day, 0.03 inHg change
    00:00 · 30.0223:00 · 29.98 inHg

    One more input — the moon's feeding windows: within their hours the score sits higher than across the rest of the day. The window times are in the “Solunar feeding periods” card below.

    Feeding windows on the day scale0:0012:0024:00

    September is an active season for Black crappie here.

    JFMAMJJASOND

    These are the same values the bite curve above was computed from. How the forecast works

    3 SepThursday, September 3
    +84°

    Partly cloudy · feels like +95°

    Low / high
    +76°…+86°
    Precipitation
    0.00 in
    Wind
    7 mph ENE
    Cloud cover
    63%
    Humidity
    82%
    Pressure
    30.01 inHg
    00:00+77°—4 mpheast wind, 4 mph91%100%
    01:00+77°—3 mpheast wind, 3 mph92%94%
    02:00+77°—4 mphnortheast wind, 4 mph93%100%
    03:00+77°—4 mphnortheast wind, 4 mph94%85%
    04:00+76°—3 mphnorth wind, 3 mph95%100%
    05:00+76°—4 mphnortheast wind, 4 mph95%100%
    06:00+76°—4 mphnortheast wind, 4 mph95%66%
    07:00+76°—3 mphnortheast wind, 3 mph95%21%
    08:00+77°—6 mphnortheast wind, 6 mph95%12%
    09:00+78°—7 mphnortheast wind, 7 mph92%56%
    10:00+80°—8 mphnortheast wind, 8 mph90%34%
    11:00+82°—7 mpheast wind, 7 mph85%64%
    12:00+84°—7 mpheast wind, 7 mph82%63%
    13:00+85°—7 mpheast wind, 7 mph77%65%
    14:00+86°—7 mpheast wind, 7 mph73%15%
    15:00+86°—7 mpheast wind, 7 mph73%77%
    16:00+86°—6 mpheast wind, 6 mph72%66%
    17:00+86°—6 mpheast wind, 6 mph75%67%
    18:00+83°—7 mphsoutheast wind, 7 mph82%100%
    19:00+81°0.02 in4 mphnortheast wind, 4 mph87%100%
    20:00+78°—6 mphnortheast wind, 6 mph89%100%
    21:00+78°—6 mpheast wind, 6 mph92%100%
    22:00+77°—5 mpheast wind, 5 mph92%100%
    23:00+77°—5 mpheast wind, 5 mph92%92%
    +86°+81°+76°
    Weather throughout the day
    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00

    Sun and moon

    Thursday, September 3
    The day: daylight and the hours the moon is above the horizon. Local time0:0012:0024:00
    DaylightMoon above the horizon
    Sunrise
    07:12
    Sunset
    19:54
    Day length
    12 h 42 min
    Sunshine hours
    7 h 8 min
    UV index
    6
    high
    Moon
    Last quarter
    Moonrise
    —
    Moonset
    13:41

    The day is 2 min shorter than yesterday.

    Sunshine hours count direct sun only — cloud cover cuts it, so it is shorter than daylight.

    Solunar feeding periods

    +15% in the windowThursday, September 3
    Feeding windows on the day scale, local time0:0012:0024:00
    Major periodsMinor periods
    • Major05:24–07:24Moon overhead
    • Minor13:11–14:11Moonset
    • Major17:54–19:54Moon underfoot

    The windows are set by the moon's transit and rise, and the forecast above already accounts for them: within these hours the bite score sits higher than across the rest of the day, while the day's overall level still comes from the catch-calibrated model.

    What are solunar periods?

    Measured river conditions are available for McKay Creek: current gauge height, streamflow, and water temperature when reported by the source.

    Water

    Gauge height
    5.12 ft

    USGS gauge MCKAY CREEK NEAR LARGO FL, 0.2 mi away · measured 2025-08-12 15:00 · data source · provisional data, subject to revision