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United States / Florida / Lake Santa Rosa Sound

Bite forecast: Lake Santa Rosa Sound

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Best fishing days for the next week

  1. ThursdaySeptember 3weather-based forecast
    31/100medium activity

    Partly cloudy: 75–86 °F

Lake Santa Rosa Sound (Florida) — a spot well known among anglers. The town of Pensacola is nearby. A smart bite calendar — moon phase, atmospheric pressure, and weather combined into an hourly fish-activity forecast for the coming days.

SaturdaySeptember 5weather-based forecast
31/100medium activity

Clear: 75–90 °F

  • WednesdaySeptember 9weather-based forecast
    30/100medium activity

    Partly cloudy: 73–95 °F

  • Nearby towns

    • Pensacola5 mi

    Nearby rivers

    • East Bay River6 mi

    Nearby water bodies

    • PondGable Lake4 mi
    • LakeEast Bay7 mi
    Loading map…

    Catches

    Recorded 6 catches here. Most commonly caught: Spanish mackerel, Mahi-mahi, Sheepshead. Peak season: May–September.

    • Mahi-mahi, Spanish mackerel
      Florida, Okaloosa County
      86 °F9 mph
      May 30, 2019
    • Flounder, Spotted seatrout
      Florida, Santa Rosa County

    Bite calendar

    Aug 31 – Sep 6
    Mon
    Tue
    Wed
    Thu
    Fri
    Sat
    Sun
    Bite activity:highmediumlowslow
    Based on:weatherseasonal
    What is a bite calendar?
    Striped bassBlack crappieWhite crappieWhite bassLargemouth bassBlue catfishBluegillCarpChannel catfishFlathead catfishGrass carpSpotted bass

    Black crappie

    6/10 · Fair

    Hourly activity

    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00
    Bite activity:highmediumlow

    The bite is strong — fish are active. Weather is steady, with no sharp swings — fish behave predictably.

    Peak bite hours

    Best time — 07:00–08:00 (dawn bite) and 20:00–21:00 (dusk bite).

    Tactics

    Look for drop-offs and gaps in the weeds, retrieve slowly, lingering over promising spots.

    Lures

    The water's turning murky — go with bright, noisy lures: small jig or minnow bait.

    Gear

    It's a hot day — a hat, sunglasses, and plenty of water are a must. Rain is expected — don't forget a rain jacket or a waterproof shell.

    Summary

    Worth going — it's a productive day.

    How this forecast is calculated

    Why this forecast

    The computed water temperature is around 80 °F — warmer than the 57–75 °F comfort range for Black crappie: in the heat it drops deeper and feeds less often.

    Computed water temperature by month; the green band is the 57–75 °F comfort rangecomfort 57–75 °F80 °F
    JFMAMJJASOND

    Black crappie works the twilight: the peaks are pinned to sunrise and sunset — their times are in the sun-and-moon card above.

    The day: daylight hours and when Black crappie feeds0:0012:0024:00

    Pressure is dropping 0.03 inHg over the day — fish are usually more active ahead of a weather change.

    Pressure through the day, 0.03 inHg change
    00:00 · 30.0223:00 · 29.98 inHg

    One more input — the moon's feeding windows: within their hours the score sits higher than across the rest of the day. The window times are in the “Solunar feeding periods” card below.

    Feeding windows on the day scale0:0012:0024:00

    September is an active season for Black crappie here.

    JFMAMJJASOND

    These are the same values the bite curve above was computed from. How the forecast works

    3 SepThursday, September 3
    +84°

    Partly cloudy · feels like +95°

    Low / high
    +76°…+86°
    Precipitation
    0.00 in
    Wind
    7 mph ENE
    Cloud cover
    63%
    Humidity
    82%
    Pressure
    30.01 inHg
    00:00+77°—4 mpheast wind, 4 mph91%100%
    01:00+77°—3 mpheast wind, 3 mph92%94%
    02:00+77°—4 mphnortheast wind, 4 mph93%100%
    03:00+77°—4 mphnortheast wind, 4 mph94%85%
    04:00+76°—3 mphnorth wind, 3 mph95%100%
    05:00+76°—4 mphnortheast wind, 4 mph95%100%
    06:00+76°—4 mphnortheast wind, 4 mph95%66%
    07:00+76°—3 mphnortheast wind, 3 mph95%21%
    08:00+77°—6 mphnortheast wind, 6 mph95%12%
    09:00+78°—7 mphnortheast wind, 7 mph92%56%
    10:00+80°—8 mphnortheast wind, 8 mph90%34%
    11:00+82°—7 mpheast wind, 7 mph85%64%
    12:00+84°—7 mpheast wind, 7 mph82%63%
    13:00+85°—7 mpheast wind, 7 mph77%65%
    14:00+86°—7 mpheast wind, 7 mph73%15%
    15:00+86°—7 mpheast wind, 7 mph73%77%
    16:00+86°—6 mpheast wind, 6 mph72%66%
    17:00+86°—6 mpheast wind, 6 mph75%67%
    18:00+83°—7 mphsoutheast wind, 7 mph82%100%
    19:00+81°0.02 in4 mphnortheast wind, 4 mph87%100%
    20:00+78°—6 mphnortheast wind, 6 mph89%100%
    21:00+78°—6 mpheast wind, 6 mph92%100%
    22:00+77°—5 mpheast wind, 5 mph92%100%
    23:00+77°—5 mpheast wind, 5 mph92%92%
    +86°+81°+76°
    Weather throughout the day
    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00

    Sun and moon

    Thursday, September 3
    The day: daylight and the hours the moon is above the horizon. Local time0:0012:0024:00
    DaylightMoon above the horizon
    Sunrise
    07:12
    Sunset
    19:54
    Day length
    12 h 42 min
    Sunshine hours
    7 h 8 min
    UV index
    6
    high
    Moon
    Last quarter
    Moonrise
    —
    Moonset
    14:03

    The day is 2 min shorter than yesterday.

    Sunshine hours count direct sun only — cloud cover cuts it, so it is shorter than daylight.

    Solunar feeding periods

    +15% in the windowThursday, September 3
    Feeding windows on the day scale, local time0:0012:0024:00
    Major periodsMinor periods
    • Major05:41–07:41Moon overhead
    • Minor13:33–14:33Moonset
    • Major18:10–20:10Moon underfoot

    The windows are set by the moon's transit and rise, and the forecast above already accounts for them: within these hours the bite score sits higher than across the rest of the day, while the day's overall level still comes from the catch-calibrated model.

    What are solunar periods?
    77 °F18 mph
    May 12, 2019
  • Sheepshead
    Florida, Santa Rosa County
    77 °F18 mph
    May 12, 2019
  • Red drum
    Santa Rosa Sound
    Sep 15, 2018
  • Chinook salmon, Mahi-mahi
    Florida, Escambia County
    84 °F7 mph
    May 20, 2018
  • Spanish mackerel
    Florida, Escambia County
    79 °F7 mph
    May 04, 2018
  • BiteGuide·From anglers’ reports

    What actually worked on this water

    Based on 6 verified catchesPeriod: 2018–2019

    This is a summary of anglers' reports, not a proven cause of the bite: conditions lining up does not mean they drove it.

    By fish species

    vertical axis — number of catches

    023
    3211111
    Spanish mackerelMahi-mahiFlounderChinook salmonRed drumSheepsheadSpotted seatrout
    By fish species
    ValueCatchesShare
    Spanish mackerel350%
    Mahi-mahi233%
    Flounder117%
    Chinook salmon117%
    Red drum117%
    Sheepshead117%
    Spotted seatrout117%

    By month

    vertical axis — number of catches

    035
    51
    MaySep
    By month
    ValueCatchesShare
    May583%
    Sep117%

    Air temperature, °F

    5 catches have this data · vertical axis — number of catches

    024
    41
    7786
    Air temperature, °F
    ValueCatchesShare
    77–84 °F480%
    86–93 °F120%

    Pressure, inHg

    5 catches have this data · vertical axis — number of catches

    012
    221
    29.7229.9230.12
    Pressure, inHg
    ValueCatchesShare
    29.72–29.88 inHg240%
    29.92–30.08 inHg240%
    30.12–30.28 inHg120%

    Wind direction

    5 catches have this data · vertical axis — number of catches

    012
    122
    SESSW
    Wind direction
    ValueCatchesShare
    SE120%
    S240%
    SW240%

    Wind speed, mph

    5 catches have this data · vertical axis — number of catches

    012
    212
    4918
    Wind speed, mph
    ValueCatchesShare
    4–7 mph240%
    9–11 mph120%
    18–20 mph240%