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United States / Florida / Bay Warner Bayou East

Bite forecast: Bay Warner Bayou East

  • 24 acres
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Best fishing days for the next week

  1. ThursdaySeptember 3weather-based forecast
    31/100medium activity

    Partly cloudy: 75–86 °F

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Nearby rivers

  • Longboat Pass6 mi

Nearby water bodies

  • BayWarner Bayou West0.5 mi
  • BayMcLewis Bayou1 mi
  • BayWares Creek2 mi
  • BayPalma Sola Bay3 mi
  • BayPerico Bayou3 mi
  • LakeFlounder Pass4 mi
  • PondLake Flores4 mi
  • LakeBig Glenn Lake4 mi
  • LakeLake Tojo7 mi
  • PondMoses Hole7 mi

Bay Warner Bayou East (Florida) — a spot well known among anglers. About 10 ha in area. Nearest town — Bradenton. A coastal water: the bite here is modelled for the sea, not for a river or a lake. See when the bite is best: hourly fish activity for the days ahead, computed from the weather, pressure, and season.

SaturdaySeptember 5weather-based forecast
31/100medium activity

Cloudy: 77–84 °F

  • WednesdaySeptember 2weather-based forecast
    30/100medium activity

    Cloudy: 75–88 °F

  • Nearby towns

    • Bradenton2 mi

    Bite calendar

    Aug 31 – Sep 6
    Mon
    Tue
    Wed
    Thu
    Fri
    Sat
    Sun
    Bite activity:highmediumlowslow
    Based on:weatherseasonal
    What is a bite calendar?
    Red drumBlack drumFlounderRed snapperStriped bassBluefishCobiaSheepsheadKing mackerelMahi-mahiSnookSpanish mackerelSpotted seatroutTarpon

    Black drum

    6/10 · Fair

    Hourly activity

    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00
    Bite activity:highmediumlow

    The bite is moderate — fish feed in short bursts. Weather is steady, with no sharp swings — fish behave predictably.

    Peak bite hours

    Best time — 00:00–05:00 and 23:00–23:00 (nighttime activity).

    Tactics

    Look for structure — reefs, flats, channel edges; work them slowly near the bottom.

    Lures

    In clear water, natural colors work best: soft-plastic jig or live bait.

    Gear

    It's a hot day — a hat, sunglasses, and plenty of water are a must.

    Summary

    An average day — best chances during peak windows.

    How this forecast is calculated

    Why this forecast

    The computed water temperature is around 80 °F — warmer than the 61–79 °F comfort range for Black drum: in the heat it drops deeper and feeds less often.

    Computed water temperature by month; the green band is the 61–79 °F comfort rangecomfort 61–79 °F80 °F
    JFMAMJJASOND

    Black drum feeds at night: the peak falls in the dark hours, between sunset and sunrise.

    The day: daylight hours and when Black drum feeds0:0012:0024:00

    Pressure is flat: it moves no more than 0.03 inHg over the day, so the weather isn't shifting today's bite.

    Pressure through the day, 0.03 inHg change
    00:00 · 30.0423:00 · 30.02 inHg

    One more input — the moon's feeding windows: within their hours the score sits higher than across the rest of the day. The window times are in the “Solunar feeding periods” card below.

    Feeding windows on the day scale0:0012:0024:00

    September is an active season for Black drum here.

    JFMAMJJASOND

    These are the same values the bite curve above was computed from. How the forecast works

    Tides

    • High water02:300.3 ft
    • Low water09:50-1.5 ft
    • High water16:50-0.4 ft
    • Low water20:15-0.7 ft
    0:006:0012:0018:0023:000:006:0012:0018:0023:00
    Sea level height by hour
    00:0001:0002:0003:0004:0005:0006:0007:0008:0009:0010:0011:0012:0013:0014:0015:0016:0017:0018:0019:0020:0021:0022:0023:00
    0.1 ft0.2 ft0.3 ft0.3 ft0.2 ft-0.1 ft-0.5 ft-0.9 ft-1.2 ft-1.4 ft-1.5 ft-1.4 ft-1.2 ft-1.0 ft-0.8 ft-0.6 ft-0.5 ft-0.4 ft-0.5 ft-0.6 ft-0.7 ft-0.7 ft-0.5 ft-0.3 ft

    Open-Meteo tide model, grid point 2.4 mi away

    Water

    Water temp.
    88 °F
    In the model
    80 °F
    Wave
    0.2 ft
    Period
    4 s

    Open-Meteo Marine model, grid cell 2.4 mi from the waterbody. Values are daily means.

    2 SepWednesday, September 2
    +85°

    Cloudy · feels like +95°

    Low / high
    +76°…+88°
    Precipitation
    0.00 in
    Wind
    7 mph NNE
    Cloud cover
    95%
    Humidity
    74%
    Pressure
    30.09 inHg
    00:00+78°—1 mphnorth wind, 1 mph94%44%
    01:00+78°—2 mphnorth wind, 2 mph94%0%
    02:00+77°—3 mphnorth wind, 3 mph95%68%
    03:00+77°—3 mphnorth wind, 3 mph95%100%
    04:00+77°—3 mphnorth wind, 3 mph95%100%
    05:00+77°—3 mphnorth wind, 3 mph95%85%
    06:00+76°—4 mphnorth wind, 4 mph94%26%
    07:00+76°—4 mphnortheast wind, 4 mph93%100%
    08:00+76°—4 mphnortheast wind, 4 mph93%100%
    09:00+78°—5 mphnortheast wind, 5 mph93%100%
    10:00+80°—5 mphnorth wind, 5 mph90%66%
    11:00+83°—7 mphnorth wind, 7 mph79%75%
    12:00+85°—7 mphnortheast wind, 7 mph74%95%
    13:00+85°—7 mphnortheast wind, 7 mph73%32%
    14:00+87°—6 mphnortheast wind, 6 mph70%37%
    15:00+87°—5 mphnortheast wind, 5 mph68%100%
    16:00+88°—4 mphnorth wind, 4 mph66%100%
    17:00+88°—5 mphnortheast wind, 5 mph65%100%
    18:00+85°—8 mphnortheast wind, 8 mph77%100%
    19:00+79°—7 mphnortheast wind, 7 mph87%100%
    20:00+78°—4 mphnorth wind, 4 mph88%100%
    21:00+77°—2 mpheast wind, 2 mph90%100%
    22:00+77°—3 mpheast wind, 3 mph92%100%
    23:00+76°—3 mpheast wind, 3 mph93%96%
    +88°+82°+76°
    Weather throughout the day
    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00

    Sun and moon

    Wednesday, September 2
    The day: daylight and the hours the moon is above the horizon. Local time0:0012:0024:00
    DaylightMoon above the horizon
    Sunrise
    07:11
    Sunset
    19:55
    Day length
    12 h 44 min
    Sunshine hours
    6 h 43 min
    UV index
    6
    high
    Moon
    Waning gibbous
    Moonrise
    23:13
    Moonset
    12:33

    The day is 2 min shorter than yesterday.

    Sunshine hours count direct sun only — cloud cover cuts it, so it is shorter than daylight.

    Solunar feeding periods

    +13% in the windowWednesday, September 2
    Feeding windows on the day scale, local time0:0012:0024:00
    Major periodsMinor periods
    • Major04:28–06:28Moon overhead
    • Minor12:03–13:03Moonset
    • Major16:55–18:55Moon underfoot
    • Minor22:43–23:43Moonrise

    The windows are set by the moon's transit and rise, and the forecast above already accounts for them: within these hours the bite score sits higher than across the rest of the day, while the day's overall level still comes from the catch-calibrated model.

    What are solunar periods?