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United States / New Jersey / Bay Post Creek Basin

Bite forecast: Bay Post Creek Basin

  • 54 acres
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Best fishing days for the next week

  1. WednesdaySeptember 9weather-based forecast
    65/100high activity

    Cloudy: 70–88 °F

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Nearby rivers

  • Jones Creek3 mi
  • Dias Creek7 mi

Nearby water bodies

  • BayRichardson Sound1 mi
  • BayHann Cove1 mi
  • LakeSunset Lake2 mi
  • LakeCold Spring Harbor3 mi
  • LakeGarden Lake3 mi
  • ReservoirPumping Station Pond4 mi
  • LakeLudlum Pond6 mi
  • PondCattail Pond8 mi
  • LakePlover Pond8 mi
  • BaySalmon Lagoon8 mi

Bay Post Creek Basin (New Jersey) — a spot well known among anglers. About 22 ha in area. A coastal water: the bite here is modelled for the sea, not for a river or a lake. A smart bite calendar — moon phase, atmospheric pressure, and weather combined into an hourly fish-activity forecast for the coming days.

TuesdaySeptember 8weather-based forecast
58/100medium activity

Partly cloudy: 63–82 °F

  • FridaySeptember 11weather-based forecast
    54/100medium activity

    Partly cloudy: 57–72 °F

  • Bite calendar

    Saturday, September 5

    Aug 31 – Sep 6
    Mon
    Tue
    Wed
    Thu
    Fri
    Sat
    Sun
    Bite activity:highmediumlowslow
    Based on:weatherseasonal
    What is a bite calendar?
    FlounderStriped bassBluefishBlack drumSpanish mackerel

    Black drum

    5/10 · Fair

    Hourly activity

    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00
    Bite activity:highmediumlow

    The bite is moderate — fish feed in short bursts. Pressure is dropping — this usually boosts the bite.

    Peak bite hours

    Best time — 00:00–04:00 and 23:00–23:00 (nighttime activity).

    Tactics

    Look for structure — reefs, flats, channel edges; work them slowly near the bottom.

    Lures

    In clear water, natural colors work best: soft-plastic jig or live bait.

    Gear

    It's a hot day — a hat, sunglasses, and plenty of water are a must.

    Summary

    An average day — best chances during peak windows.

    How this forecast is calculated

    Why this forecast

    The computed water temperature is around 74 °F — inside the 61–79 °F comfort range for Black drum, so baseline activity is high.

    Computed water temperature by month; the green band is the 61–79 °F comfort rangecomfort 61–79 °F74 °F
    JFMAMJJASOND

    Black drum feeds at night: the peak falls in the dark hours, between sunset and sunrise.

    The day: daylight hours and when Black drum feeds0:0012:0024:00

    Pressure is flat: it moves no more than 0.03 inHg over the day, so the weather isn't shifting today's bite.

    Pressure through the day, 0.03 inHg change
    00:00 · 29.8723:00 · 29.89 inHg

    One more input — the moon's feeding windows: within their hours the score sits higher than across the rest of the day. The window times are in the “Solunar feeding periods” card below.

    Feeding windows on the day scale0:0012:0024:00

    September is an active season for Black drum here.

    JFMAMJJASOND

    These are the same values the bite curve above was computed from. How the forecast works

    Tides

    • High water01:58-0.2 ft
    • Low water07:54-3.1 ft
    • High water14:441.2 ft
    • Low water21:08-2.9 ft
    0:006:0012:0018:0023:000:006:0012:0018:0023:00
    Sea level height by hour
    00:0001:0002:0003:0004:0005:0006:0007:0008:0009:0010:0011:0012:0013:0014:0015:0016:0017:0018:0019:0020:0021:0022:0023:00
    -0.8 ft-0.4 ft-0.2 ft-0.4 ft-0.9 ft-1.5 ft-2.2 ft-2.9 ft-3.1 ft-2.8 ft-2.1 ft-1.2 ft-0.3 ft0.6 ft1.1 ft1.2 ft0.9 ft0.2 ft-0.8 ft-1.8 ft-2.6 ft-2.9 ft-2.7 ft-2.2 ft

    Open-Meteo tide model, grid point 3.2 mi away

    Water

    Water temp.
    79 °F
    In the model
    74 °F
    Wave
    1.5 ft
    Period
    6 s

    Open-Meteo Marine model, grid cell 3.2 mi from the waterbody. Values are daily means.

    5 SepSaturday, September 5
    +77°

    Cloudy · feels like +78°

    Low / high
    +67°…+80°
    Precipitation
    0.00 in
    Wind
    9 mph NW
    Cloud cover
    100%
    Humidity
    56%
    Pressure
    29.87 inHg
    00:00+73°—1 mphnorth wind, 1 mph74%100%
    01:00+73°—3 mphnorth wind, 3 mph74%100%
    02:00+73°—5 mphnorthwest wind, 5 mph70%100%
    03:00+73°—3 mphnorthwest wind, 3 mph71%100%
    04:00+72°—3 mphnorthwest wind, 3 mph71%100%
    05:00+71°—4 mphnorthwest wind, 4 mph70%100%
    06:00+71°—4 mphnorthwest wind, 4 mph70%100%
    07:00+70°—4 mphnorthwest wind, 4 mph70%100%
    08:00+70°—3 mphnorthwest wind, 3 mph71%100%
    09:00+71°—5 mphnorthwest wind, 5 mph67%99%
    10:00+73°—6 mphnorthwest wind, 6 mph64%100%
    11:00+75°—7 mphnorthwest wind, 7 mph60%66%
    12:00+77°—9 mphnorthwest wind, 9 mph56%100%
    13:00+78°—11 mphnorthwest wind, 11 mph53%26%
    14:00+79°—10 mphnorthwest wind, 10 mph49%77%
    15:00+79°—9 mphnorthwest wind, 9 mph48%31%
    16:00+80°—9 mphnorthwest wind, 9 mph43%19%
    17:00+79°—9 mphnorthwest wind, 9 mph43%2%
    18:00+78°—7 mphnorthwest wind, 7 mph44%0%
    19:00+75°—5 mphnorthwest wind, 5 mph52%0%
    20:00+71°—3 mphnorthwest wind, 3 mph63%0%
    21:00+69°—4 mphnorthwest wind, 4 mph69%0%
    22:00+68°—3 mphnorthwest wind, 3 mph73%0%
    23:00+67°—4 mphnorth wind, 4 mph76%0%
    +80°+73°+67°
    Weather throughout the day
    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00

    Sun and moon

    Saturday, September 5
    The day: daylight and the hours the moon is above the horizon. Local time0:0012:0024:00
    DaylightMoon above the horizon
    Sunrise
    06:30
    Sunset
    19:24
    Day length
    12 h 54 min
    Sunshine hours
    7 h 55 min
    UV index
    5
    moderate
    Moon
    Waning crescent
    Moonrise
    —
    Moonset
    15:54

    The day is 2 min shorter than yesterday.

    Sunshine hours count direct sun only — cloud cover cuts it, so it is shorter than daylight.

    Solunar feeding periods

    +11% in the windowSaturday, September 5
    Feeding windows on the day scale, local time0:0012:0024:00
    Major periodsMinor periods
    • Major06:54–08:54Moon overhead
    • Minor15:24–16:24Moonset
    • Major19:25–21:25Moon underfoot

    The windows are set by the moon's transit and rise, and the forecast above already accounts for them: within these hours the bite score sits higher than across the rest of the day, while the day's overall level still comes from the catch-calibrated model.

    What are solunar periods?