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United States / New York / Lake Nesbit Pond

Bite forecast: Lake Nesbit Pond

  • 3 acres
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Best fishing days for the next week

  1. TuesdaySeptember 8weather-based forecast
    77/100high activity

    Cloudy: 52–72 °F

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Nearby water bodies

  • LakeRound Pond0.2 mi
  • LakeCopper Pond0.3 mi
  • LakeClear Pond0.5 mi
  • LakeLockart Pond0.7 mi
  • LakeLawson Pond1 mi
  • LakeClark Pond2 mi
  • LakeCoonrod Pond2 mi
  • LakeTrout Pond2 mi
  • LakeOre Bed Pond3 mi
  • LakeFrances Pond4 mi

Lake Nesbit Pond (New York) — a spot well known among anglers. About 1 ha in area. See when the bite is best: hourly fish activity for the days ahead, computed from the weather, pressure, and season.

MondaySeptember 7weather-based forecast
68/100high activity

Clear: 46–72 °F

  • ThursdaySeptember 3weather-based forecast
    65/100high activity

    Partly cloudy: 64–77 °F

  • Bite calendar

    Aug 31 – Sep 6
    Mon
    Tue
    Wed
    Thu
    Fri
    Sat
    Sun
    Bite activity:highmediumlowslow
    Based on:weatherseasonal
    What is a bite calendar?
    BurbotCoho salmonPikeStriped bassYellow perchLake troutMuskellungeSmallmouth bassWalleyeWhite bassBlack crappieBrook troutSteelheadWhite crappieWhitefishChinook salmonLargemouth bassRainbow troutBluegillCarpChannel catfish

    Black crappie

    6/10 · Fair

    Hourly activity

    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00
    Bite activity:highmediumlow

    The bite is moderate — fish feed in short bursts. A thunderstorm is possible: activity rises before the front and drops after.

    Peak bite hours

    Best time — 06:00–08:00 (dawn bite) and 19:00–21:00 (dusk bite).

    Tactics

    Look for drop-offs and gaps in the weeds, retrieve slowly, lingering over promising spots.

    Lures

    The water's turning murky — go with bright, noisy lures: small jig or minnow bait.

    Gear

    No special gear needed — seasonal clothing will do. A thunderstorm is possible — bring a rain jacket, and pack up at the first rumble of thunder.

    Summary

    An average day — best chances during peak windows.

    How this forecast is calculated

    Why this forecast

    The computed water temperature is around 65 °F — inside the 57–75 °F comfort range for Black crappie, so baseline activity is high.

    Computed water temperature by month; the green band is the 57–75 °F comfort rangecomfort 57–75 °F65 °F
    JFMAMJJASOND

    Black crappie works the twilight: the peaks are pinned to sunrise and sunset — their times are in the sun-and-moon card above.

    The day: daylight hours and when Black crappie feeds0:0012:0024:00

    Pressure is flat: it moves no more than 0.03 inHg over the day, so the weather isn't shifting today's bite.

    Pressure through the day, 0.03 inHg change
    00:00 · 30.0123:00 · 29.98 inHg

    One more input — the moon's feeding windows: within their hours the score sits higher than across the rest of the day. The window times are in the “Solunar feeding periods” card below.

    Feeding windows on the day scale0:0012:0024:00

    September is an active season for Black crappie here.

    JFMAMJJASOND

    These are the same values the bite curve above was computed from. How the forecast works

    2 SepWednesday, September 2
    +71°

    Cloudy · feels like +73°

    Low / high
    +59°…+72°
    Precipitation
    0.00 in
    Wind
    9 mph S
    Cloud cover
    100%
    Humidity
    81%
    Pressure
    30.07 inHg
    00:00+62°—3 mphnortheast wind, 3 mph94%65%
    01:00+60°—3 mphnortheast wind, 3 mph93%100%
    02:00+61°—3 mphnortheast wind, 3 mph96%100%
    03:00+61°—3 mpheast wind, 3 mph93%98%
    04:00+60°—2 mpheast wind, 2 mph91%48%
    05:00+60°—3 mpheast wind, 3 mph88%100%
    06:00+59°—3 mpheast wind, 3 mph87%100%
    07:00+59°—3 mpheast wind, 3 mph85%94%
    08:00+62°—3 mpheast wind, 3 mph90%100%
    09:00+67°—6 mphsoutheast wind, 6 mph88%100%
    10:00+69°—6 mphsoutheast wind, 6 mph86%100%
    11:00+70°—8 mphsoutheast wind, 8 mph84%100%
    12:00+71°—9 mphsouth wind, 9 mph81%100%
    13:00+72°—8 mphsouth wind, 8 mph81%100%
    14:00+71°—9 mphsoutheast wind, 9 mph78%100%
    15:00+70°0.02 in9 mphsouth wind, 9 mph82%100%
    16:00+70°—12 mphsouth wind, 12 mph81%46%
    17:00+69°—9 mphsouth wind, 9 mph79%100%
    18:00+68°—10 mphsouth wind, 10 mph80%50%
    19:00+67°—6 mphsouth wind, 6 mph83%100%
    20:00+65°—8 mphsouth wind, 8 mph85%100%
    21:00+64°—9 mphsouth wind, 9 mph86%97%
    22:00+64°1.08 in13 mphsouthwest wind, 13 mph91%100%
    23:00+64°0.04 in9 mphsouth wind, 9 mph87%91%
    +72°+66°+59°
    Weather throughout the day
    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00

    Sun and moon

    Wednesday, September 2
    The day: daylight and the hours the moon is above the horizon. Local time0:0012:0024:00
    DaylightMoon above the horizon
    Sunrise
    06:24
    Sunset
    19:30
    Day length
    13 h 6 min
    Sunshine hours
    2 h 57 min
    UV index
    2
    low
    Moon
    Waning gibbous
    Moonrise
    21:48
    Moonset
    12:40

    The day is 3 min shorter than yesterday.

    Sunshine hours count direct sun only — cloud cover cuts it, so it is shorter than daylight.

    Solunar feeding periods

    +11% in the windowWednesday, September 2
    Feeding windows on the day scale, local time0:0012:0024:00
    Major periodsMinor periods
    • Major03:50–05:50Moon overhead
    • Minor12:10–13:10Moonset
    • Major16:18–18:18Moon underfoot
    • Minor21:18–22:18Moonrise

    The windows are set by the moon's transit and rise, and the forecast above already accounts for them: within these hours the bite score sits higher than across the rest of the day, while the day's overall level still comes from the catch-calibrated model.

    What are solunar periods?