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© 2026·AI-powered bite forecast
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United States / New York / River Tonawanda Creek

Bite forecast: River Tonawanda Creek

  • length 110 mi
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Best fishing days for the next week

  1. WednesdaySeptember 9weather-based forecast
    74/100high activity

    Cloudy: 63–81 °F

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Nearby water bodies

  • LakePhelps Pond5 mi
  • LakeChapin Pond7 mi
  • LakeHorseshoe Lake7 mi
  • LakeApple Lake8 mi
  • LakeGodfrey Pond8 mi
  • PondIndian Falls Lake8 mi
  • LakeFun Lake8 mi
  • LakeDarien Lake8 mi
  • PondNorth Marsh9 mi

River Tonawanda Creek (New York) — a spot well known among anglers. About 178 km long. Close by — Tonawanda, Amherst and Buffalo. Here you'll find a bite prediction — when fish are active and which hours give the best chances, adjusted for weather and pressure.

TuesdaySeptember 8weather-based forecast
66/100high activity

Partly cloudy: 50–73 °F

  • ThursdaySeptember 10weather-based forecast
    65/100high activity

    Drizzle: 50–59 °F

  • Nearby towns

    • Tonawanda0.1 mi
    • Amherst3 mi
    • Buffalo9 mi

    Bite calendar

    Friday, September 4

    Aug 31 – Sep 6
    Mon
    Tue
    Wed
    Thu
    Fri
    Sat
    Sun
    Bite activity:highmediumlowslow
    Based on:weatherseasonal
    What is a bite calendar?
    Yellow perchBrook troutCoho salmonMuskellungePikeSmallmouth bassWalleyeWhite bassBluegillCarpChannel catfishLargemouth bassStriped bassWhitefishBlack crappieRainbow troutSteelheadWhite crappieChinook salmonLake troutBurbot

    Black crappie

    5/10 · Fair

    Hourly activity

    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00
    Bite activity:highmediumlow

    The bite is moderate — fish feed in short bursts. Pressure is dropping — this usually boosts the bite.

    Peak bite hours

    Best time — 06:00–08:00 (dawn bite) and 19:00–21:00 (dusk bite).

    Tactics

    Work the cover — snags, weed edges, hole entrances; retrieve the lure with pauses.

    Lures

    In clear water, natural colors work best: small jig or minnow bait.

    Gear

    No special gear needed — seasonal clothing will do.

    Summary

    An average day — best chances during peak windows.

    How this forecast is calculated

    Why this forecast

    The computed water temperature is around 65 °F — inside the 57–75 °F comfort range for Black crappie, so baseline activity is high.

    Computed water temperature by month; the green band is the 57–75 °F comfort rangecomfort 57–75 °F65 °F
    JFMAMJJASOND

    Black crappie works the twilight: the peaks are pinned to sunrise and sunset — their times are in the sun-and-moon card above.

    The day: daylight hours and when Black crappie feeds0:0012:0024:00

    Pressure is flat: it moves no more than 0.03 inHg over the day, so the weather isn't shifting today's bite.

    Pressure through the day, 0.03 inHg change
    00:00 · 29.8923:00 · 29.87 inHg

    One more input — the moon's feeding windows: within their hours the score sits higher than across the rest of the day. The window times are in the “Solunar feeding periods” card below.

    Feeding windows on the day scale0:0012:0024:00

    September is an active season for Black crappie here.

    JFMAMJJASOND

    These are the same values the bite curve above was computed from. How the forecast works

    4 SepFriday, September 4
    +70°

    Clear · feels like +70°

    Low / high
    +60°…+73°
    Precipitation
    0.00 in
    Wind
    10 mph NW
    Cloud cover
    13%
    Humidity
    63%
    Pressure
    29.89 inHg
    00:00+64°—5 mphwest wind, 5 mph60%100%
    01:00+64°—4 mphwest wind, 4 mph65%100%
    02:00+63°—6 mphsouthwest wind, 6 mph67%16%
    03:00+63°—7 mphwest wind, 7 mph69%100%
    04:00+63°—7 mphwest wind, 7 mph71%100%
    05:00+62°—6 mphwest wind, 6 mph77%3%
    06:00+61°—6 mphwest wind, 6 mph81%0%
    07:00+60°—5 mphwest wind, 5 mph83%25%
    08:00+63°—6 mphwest wind, 6 mph87%46%
    09:00+66°—8 mphnorthwest wind, 8 mph80%1%
    10:00+67°—9 mphnorthwest wind, 9 mph75%23%
    11:00+69°—11 mphnorthwest wind, 11 mph69%86%
    12:00+70°—10 mphnorthwest wind, 10 mph63%13%
    13:00+71°—9 mphnorthwest wind, 9 mph60%17%
    14:00+72°—9 mphnorthwest wind, 9 mph60%30%
    15:00+73°—10 mphnorthwest wind, 10 mph59%32%
    16:00+73°—11 mphnorthwest wind, 11 mph54%14%
    17:00+72°—10 mphnorthwest wind, 10 mph55%92%
    18:00+69°—9 mphwest wind, 9 mph63%100%
    19:00+67°—8 mphwest wind, 8 mph66%100%
    20:00+64°—7 mphwest wind, 7 mph66%100%
    21:00+63°—7 mphwest wind, 7 mph69%12%
    22:00+62°—6 mphwest wind, 6 mph72%100%
    23:00+62°—5 mphnorthwest wind, 5 mph74%100%
    +73°+66°+60°
    Weather throughout the day
    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00

    Sun and moon

    Friday, September 4
    The day: daylight and the hours the moon is above the horizon. Local time0:0012:0024:00
    DaylightMoon above the horizon
    Sunrise
    06:26
    Sunset
    19:27
    Day length
    13 h 1 min
    Sunshine hours
    9 h 6 min
    UV index
    6
    high
    Moon
    Last quarter
    Moonrise
    23:47
    Moonset
    15:22

    The day is 3 min shorter than yesterday.

    Sunshine hours count direct sun only — cloud cover cuts it, so it is shorter than daylight.

    Solunar feeding periods

    +14% in the windowFriday, September 4
    Feeding windows on the day scale, local time0:0012:0024:00
    Major periodsMinor periods
    • Major06:04–08:04Moon overhead
    • Minor14:52–15:52Moonset
    • Major18:35–20:35Moon underfoot
    • Minor23:17–00:00Moonrise

    The windows are set by the moon's transit and rise, and the forecast above already accounts for them: within these hours the bite score sits higher than across the rest of the day, while the day's overall level still comes from the catch-calibrated model.

    What are solunar periods?

    Measured river conditions are available for Tonawanda Creek: current gauge height, streamflow, and water temperature when reported by the source.

    Water

    Gauge height
    3.59 ft
    Streamflow
    779 ft³/s

    USGS gauge TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA NY, 4 mi away · measured 2026-09-04 15:00 · data source · provisional data, subject to revision