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Forecast
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© 2026·AI-powered bite forecast
0.1.0+2161 · b4069346

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United States / New York / River Tonawanda Creek

Bite forecast: River Tonawanda Creek

  • length 110 mi
Loading map…

Best fishing days for the next week

  1. MondaySeptember 7weather-based forecast
    71/100high activity

    Clear: 48–73 °F

Nearby water bodies

  • LakePhelps Pond5 mi
  • LakeChapin Pond7 mi
  • LakeHorseshoe Lake7 mi
  • LakeApple Lake8 mi
  • LakeGodfrey Pond8 mi
  • PondIndian Falls Lake8 mi
  • LakeFun Lake8 mi
  • LakeDarien Lake8 mi
  • PondNorth Marsh9 mi

River Tonawanda Creek (New York) — a spot well known among anglers. About 178 km long. Close by — Tonawanda, Amherst and Buffalo. Here you'll find a bite prediction — when fish are active and which hours give the best chances, adjusted for weather and pressure.

TuesdaySeptember 8weather-based forecast
66/100high activity

Clear: 55–75 °F

  • SundaySeptember 6weather-based forecast
    62/100high activity

    Clear: 45–70 °F

  • Nearby towns

    • Tonawanda0.1 mi
    • Amherst3 mi
    • Buffalo9 mi
    Loading map…

    Bite calendar

    Aug 31 – Sep 6
    Mon
    Tue
    Wed
    Thu
    Fri
    Sat
    Sun
    Bite activity:highmediumlowslow
    Based on:weatherseasonal
    What is a bite calendar?
    Coho salmonPikeYellow perchBluegillBrook troutCarpLargemouth bassMuskellungeSmallmouth bassWalleyeWhite bassWhitefishChannel catfishSteelheadStriped bassBlack crappieChinook salmonRainbow troutWhite crappieLake troutBurbot

    Black crappie

    5/10 · Fair

    Hourly activity

    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00
    Bite activity:highmediumlow

    The bite is moderate — fish feed in short bursts. Pressure is dropping — this usually boosts the bite.

    Peak bite hours

    Best time — 06:00–08:00 (dawn bite) and 19:00–21:00 (dusk bite).

    Tactics

    Work the cover — snags, weed edges, hole entrances; retrieve the lure with pauses.

    Lures

    In clear water, natural colors work best: small jig or minnow bait.

    Gear

    Pack transitional-season clothing — mornings and evenings are chilly.

    Summary

    An average day — best chances during peak windows.

    How this forecast is calculated

    Why this forecast

    The computed water temperature is around 64 °F — inside the 57–75 °F comfort range for Black crappie, so baseline activity is high.

    Computed water temperature by month; the green band is the 57–75 °F comfort rangecomfort 57–75 °F64 °F
    JFMAMJJASOND

    Black crappie works the twilight: the peaks are pinned to sunrise and sunset — their times are in the sun-and-moon card above.

    The day: daylight hours and when Black crappie feeds0:0012:0024:00

    Pressure is dropping 0.06 inHg over the day — fish are usually more active ahead of a weather change.

    Pressure through the day, 0.06 inHg change
    00:00 · 29.9223:00 · 29.86 inHg

    One more input — the moon's feeding windows: within their hours the score sits higher than across the rest of the day. The window times are in the “Solunar feeding periods” card below.

    Feeding windows on the day scale0:0012:0024:00

    September is an active season for Black crappie here.

    JFMAMJJASOND

    These are the same values the bite curve above was computed from. How the forecast works

    4 SepFriday, September 4
    +73°

    Clear · feels like +72°

    Low / high
    +52°…+73°
    Precipitation
    0.00 in
    Wind
    10 mph WNW
    Cloud cover
    5%
    Humidity
    54%
    Pressure
    29.84 inHg
    00:00+58°—5 mphsouthwest wind, 5 mph89%97%
    01:00+58°—4 mphsouthwest wind, 4 mph90%100%
    02:00+58°—4 mphsouthwest wind, 4 mph90%100%
    03:00+58°—5 mphsouthwest wind, 5 mph92%100%
    04:00+58°—5 mphsouthwest wind, 5 mph93%100%
    05:00+57°—5 mphsouthwest wind, 5 mph95%100%
    06:00+57°—5 mphsouthwest wind, 5 mph96%75%
    07:00+57°—4 mphsouthwest wind, 4 mph95%19%
    08:00+62°—4 mphsouthwest wind, 4 mph85%10%
    09:00+67°—6 mphwest wind, 6 mph78%11%
    10:00+69°—9 mphwest wind, 9 mph72%74%
    11:00+71°—10 mphnorthwest wind, 10 mph60%5%
    12:00+73°—10 mphnorthwest wind, 10 mph54%5%
    13:00+73°—11 mphnorthwest wind, 11 mph53%8%
    14:00+73°—11 mphnorthwest wind, 11 mph55%100%
    15:00+73°—11 mphnorthwest wind, 11 mph56%100%
    16:00+72°—11 mphnorthwest wind, 11 mph60%100%
    17:00+69°—11 mphnorthwest wind, 11 mph69%100%
    18:00+67°—11 mphnorthwest wind, 11 mph74%100%
    19:00+64°—10 mphnorthwest wind, 10 mph79%79%
    20:00+60°—7 mphnorthwest wind, 7 mph89%25%
    21:00+58°—7 mphnorthwest wind, 7 mph91%0%
    22:00+55°—5 mphnorthwest wind, 5 mph93%0%
    23:00+52°—5 mphwest wind, 5 mph96%0%
    +73°+63°+52°
    Weather throughout the day
    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00

    Sun and moon

    Friday, September 4
    The day: daylight and the hours the moon is above the horizon. Local time0:0012:0024:00
    DaylightMoon above the horizon
    Sunrise
    06:26
    Sunset
    19:27
    Day length
    13 h 1 min
    Sunshine hours
    12 h 16 min
    UV index
    6
    high
    Moon
    Last quarter
    Moonrise
    23:47
    Moonset
    15:22

    The day is 3 min shorter than yesterday.

    Sunshine hours count direct sun only — cloud cover cuts it, so it is shorter than daylight.

    Solunar feeding periods

    +13% in the windowFriday, September 4
    Feeding windows on the day scale, local time0:0012:0024:00
    Major periodsMinor periods
    • Major06:04–08:04Moon overhead
    • Minor14:52–15:52Moonset
    • Major18:35–20:35Moon underfoot
    • Minor23:17–00:00Moonrise

    The windows are set by the moon's transit and rise, and the forecast above already accounts for them: within these hours the bite score sits higher than across the rest of the day, while the day's overall level still comes from the catch-calibrated model.

    What are solunar periods?

    Measured river conditions are available for Tonawanda Creek: current gauge height, streamflow, and water temperature when reported by the source.

    Water

    Gauge height
    2.20 ft
    Streamflow
    115 ft³/s

    USGS gauge TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA NY, 4 mi away · measured 2026-09-02 08:00 · data source · provisional data, subject to revision