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  • Forecast
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© 2026·AI-powered bite forecast
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United States / Texas / Fern Lake

Bite forecast: Fern Lake

  • 46 acres
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Best fishing days for the next week

  1. SundaySeptember 6weather-based forecast
    23/100low activity

    Clear: 73–91 °F

Fern Lake (Texas) — a popular fishing spot. About 19 ha in area. This page shows an hourly bite forecast for today and the week ahead; the algorithm factors in the weather, atmospheric pressure, and the moon phase.

WednesdaySeptember 9weather-based forecast
23/100low activity

Cloudy: 75–95 °F

  • ThursdaySeptember 3weather-based forecast
    22/100low activity

    Clear: 75–95 °F

  • Nearby rivers

    • Haggerty Creek4 mi
    • Grays Creek4 mi
    • Deboldin Creek4 mi
    • Key Creek4 mi
    • Rainey Creek7 mi
    • Harrison Bayou9 mi
    • Big Cypress Bayou9 mi

    Nearby water bodies

    • LakeHighland Lake1 mi
    • ReservoirLake Shadowood Reservoir2 mi
    • ReservoirTaylor Lake4 mi
    • ReservoirHolmes Lake5 mi
    • LakeMarshall Lakeside Country Club Lake5 mi
    • LakeHarris Lake6 mi
    • LakeLittletons Lake7 mi
    • LakeBenton Lake7 mi
    • LakeStumpy Lake7 mi
    • LakeClear Lake7 mi
    Loading map…

    Bite calendar

    Thursday, September 3

    Aug 31 – Sep 6
    Mon
    Tue
    Wed
    Thu
    Fri
    Sat
    Sun
    Bite activity:highmediumlowslow
    Based on:weatherseasonal
    What is a bite calendar?

    In the fish list, this icon marks species recorded here by GBIF. Unmarked species may still occur in the waterbody.

    Black crappieStriped bassWhite crappieSmallmouth bassWalleyeWhite bassLargemouth bassBlue catfishBluegillCarpChannel catfishFlathead catfishGrass carpSpotted bass

    Black crappie

    5/10 · Fair

    Hourly activity

    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00
    Bite activity:highmediumlow

    The bite is moderate — fish feed in short bursts. Weather is steady, with no sharp swings — fish behave predictably.

    Peak bite hours

    Best time — 07:00–09:00 (dawn bite) and 19:00–22:00 (dusk bite).

    Tactics

    Look for drop-offs and gaps in the weeds, retrieve slowly, lingering over promising spots.

    Lures

    In clear water, natural colors work best: small jig or minnow bait.

    Gear

    It's a hot day — a hat, sunglasses, and plenty of water are a must.

    Summary

    An average day — best chances during peak windows.

    How this forecast is calculated

    Why this forecast

    The computed water temperature is around 85 °F — warmer than the 57–75 °F comfort range for Black crappie: in the heat it drops deeper and feeds less often.

    Computed water temperature by month; the green band is the 57–75 °F comfort rangecomfort 57–75 °F85 °F
    JFMAMJJASOND

    Black crappie works the twilight: the peaks are pinned to sunrise and sunset — their times are in the sun-and-moon card above.

    The day: daylight hours and when Black crappie feeds0:0012:0024:00

    Pressure is flat: it moves no more than 0.03 inHg over the day, so the weather isn't shifting today's bite.

    Pressure through the day, 0.03 inHg change
    00:00 · 29.8523:00 · 29.83 inHg

    One more input — the moon's feeding windows: within their hours the score sits higher than across the rest of the day. The window times are in the “Solunar feeding periods” card below.

    Feeding windows on the day scale0:0012:0024:00

    September is an active season for Black crappie here.

    JFMAMJJASOND

    These are the same values the bite curve above was computed from. How the forecast works

    3 SepThursday, September 3
    +89°

    Clear · feels like +94°

    Low / high
    +76°…+96°
    Precipitation
    0.00 in
    Wind
    14 mph SSE
    Cloud cover
    0%
    Humidity
    56%
    Pressure
    29.88 inHg
    00:00+83°—9 mphsoutheast wind, 9 mph47%0%
    01:00+82°—9 mphsoutheast wind, 9 mph49%0%
    02:00+81°—10 mphsoutheast wind, 10 mph51%0%
    03:00+79°—16 mphsoutheast wind, 16 mph64%0%
    04:00+78°—15 mphsoutheast wind, 15 mph76%0%
    05:00+77°—14 mphsoutheast wind, 14 mph81%1%
    06:00+76°—13 mphsoutheast wind, 13 mph82%1%
    07:00+76°—13 mphsoutheast wind, 13 mph83%1%
    08:00+76°—15 mphsoutheast wind, 15 mph83%3%
    09:00+79°—15 mphsoutheast wind, 15 mph77%3%
    10:00+82°—14 mphsoutheast wind, 14 mph71%4%
    11:00+86°—14 mphsoutheast wind, 14 mph64%4%
    12:00+89°—14 mphsoutheast wind, 14 mph56%0%
    13:00+92°—14 mphsoutheast wind, 14 mph50%100%
    14:00+94°—14 mphsoutheast wind, 14 mph44%100%
    15:00+95°—13 mphsoutheast wind, 13 mph40%96%
    16:00+96°—13 mphsoutheast wind, 13 mph37%42%
    17:00+96°—13 mphsoutheast wind, 13 mph35%0%
    18:00+95°—13 mphsoutheast wind, 13 mph33%0%
    19:00+93°—12 mphsoutheast wind, 12 mph34%0%
    20:00+88°—9 mphsoutheast wind, 9 mph42%0%
    21:00+86°—9 mphsoutheast wind, 9 mph46%0%
    22:00+84°—10 mphsoutheast wind, 10 mph47%0%
    23:00+82°—10 mphsoutheast wind, 10 mph51%0%
    +96°+86°+76°
    Weather throughout the day
    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00

    Sun and moon

    Thursday, September 3
    The day: daylight and the hours the moon is above the horizon. Local time0:0012:0024:00
    DaylightMoon above the horizon
    Sunrise
    07:22
    Sunset
    20:03
    Day length
    12 h 41 min
    Sunshine hours
    11 h 34 min
    UV index
    6
    high
    Moon
    Last quarter
    Moonrise
    23:35
    Moonset
    13:41

    The day is 2 min shorter than yesterday.

    Sunshine hours count direct sun only — cloud cover cuts it, so it is shorter than daylight.

    Solunar feeding periods

    +13% in the windowThursday, September 3
    Feeding windows on the day scale, local time0:0012:0024:00
    Major periodsMinor periods
    • Major05:10–07:10Moon overhead
    • Minor13:11–14:11Moonset
    • Major17:40–19:40Moon underfoot
    • Minor23:05–00:00Moonrise

    The windows are set by the moon's transit and rise, and the forecast above already accounts for them: within these hours the bite score sits higher than across the rest of the day, while the day's overall level still comes from the catch-calibrated model.

    What are solunar periods?