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Where to fish

  • Forecast
  • Catches

Mine

  • Favorites
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© 2026·AI-powered bite forecast
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United States / Virginia / River Aquia Creek

Bite forecast: River Aquia Creek

  • length 15 mi
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Best fishing days for the next week

  1. WednesdaySeptember 9weather-based forecast
    56/100medium activity

    Cloudy: 55–90 °F

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River Aquia Creek (Virginia) — a spot well known among anglers. About 24 km long. Nearest town — Fredericksburg. This page shows an hourly bite forecast for today and the week ahead; the algorithm factors in the weather, atmospheric pressure, and the moon phase.

Catches

Recorded 6 catches here. Most commonly caught: Largemouth bass, Blue catfish. Peak season: July–October.

  • Largemouth bass
    Aquia Creek
    Oct 10, 2018
  • Largemouth bass
    Aquia Creek
    Aug 20, 2018
  • Blue catfish
    Aquia Creek
    Aug 13, 2018
  • Largemouth bass
    Aquia Creek
    Aug 07, 2018
  • Largemouth bass
    Aquia Creek
    Jul 31, 2018
  • Largemouth bass
    Aquia Creek
    Jul 29, 2018
ThursdaySeptember 10weather-based forecast
56/100medium activity

Partly cloudy: 64–86 °F

  • TuesdaySeptember 8weather-based forecast
    53/100medium activity

    Cloudy: 54–82 °F

  • Nearby towns

    • Fredericksburg10 mi

    Bite calendar

    Saturday, September 5

    Aug 31 – Sep 6
    Mon
    Tue
    Wed
    Thu
    Fri
    Sat
    Sun
    Bite activity:highmediumlowslow
    Based on:weatherseasonal
    What is a bite calendar?
    Smallmouth bassStriped bassWalleyeWhite bassBlack crappieBrook troutWhite crappieBlue catfishBluegillCarpChannel catfishFlathead catfishLargemouth bassRainbow troutSpotted bass

    Black crappie

    6/10 · Fair

    Hourly activity

    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00
    Bite activity:highmediumlow

    The bite is strong — fish are active. Pressure is dropping — this usually boosts the bite.

    Peak bite hours

    Best time — 07:00–08:00 (dawn bite) and 19:00–21:00 (dusk bite).

    Tactics

    Work the cover — snags, weed edges, hole entrances; retrieve the lure with pauses.

    Lures

    In clear water, natural colors work best: small jig or minnow bait.

    Gear

    It's a hot day — a hat, sunglasses, and plenty of water are a must.

    Summary

    Worth going — it's a productive day.

    How this forecast is calculated

    Why this forecast

    The computed water temperature is around 72 °F — inside the 57–75 °F comfort range for Black crappie, so baseline activity is high.

    Computed water temperature by month; the green band is the 57–75 °F comfort rangecomfort 57–75 °F72 °F
    JFMAMJJASOND

    Black crappie works the twilight: the peaks are pinned to sunrise and sunset — their times are in the sun-and-moon card above.

    The day: daylight hours and when Black crappie feeds0:0012:0024:00

    Pressure is dropping 0.03 inHg over the day — fish are usually more active ahead of a weather change.

    Pressure through the day, 0.03 inHg change
    00:00 · 29.9323:00 · 29.89 inHg

    One more input — the moon's feeding windows: within their hours the score sits higher than across the rest of the day. The window times are in the “Solunar feeding periods” card below.

    Feeding windows on the day scale0:0012:0024:00

    September is an active season for Black crappie here.

    JFMAMJJASOND

    These are the same values the bite curve above was computed from. How the forecast works

    5 SepSaturday, September 5
    +78°

    Cloudy · feels like +77°

    Low / high
    +70°…+86°
    Precipitation
    0.00 in
    Wind
    15 mph WNW
    Cloud cover
    100%
    Humidity
    61%
    Pressure
    29.87 inHg
    00:00+76°—4 mphwest wind, 4 mph60%0%
    01:00+75°—3 mphsouthwest wind, 3 mph61%6%
    02:00+75°—3 mphsouthwest wind, 3 mph59%10%
    03:00+74°—2 mphnorthwest wind, 2 mph60%35%
    04:00+73°—3 mphnorthwest wind, 3 mph63%0%
    05:00+73°—5 mphwest wind, 5 mph65%30%
    06:00+73°—5 mphwest wind, 5 mph67%91%
    07:00+72°—5 mphwest wind, 5 mph66%100%
    08:00+74°—6 mphnorthwest wind, 6 mph68%92%
    09:00+75°—11 mphwest wind, 11 mph73%100%
    10:00+79°—9 mphwest wind, 9 mph56%100%
    11:00+80°—16 mphnorthwest wind, 16 mph54%100%
    12:00+78°—15 mphnorthwest wind, 15 mph61%100%
    13:00+81°—8 mphnorthwest wind, 8 mph49%98%
    14:00+84°—10 mphnorthwest wind, 10 mph43%66%
    15:00+86°—9 mphnorthwest wind, 9 mph38%94%
    16:00+86°—12 mphnorthwest wind, 12 mph42%100%
    17:00+83°—11 mphnorthwest wind, 11 mph46%100%
    18:00+83°—9 mphnorthwest wind, 9 mph49%19%
    19:00+80°—8 mphnorthwest wind, 8 mph54%1%
    20:00+77°—6 mphnorthwest wind, 6 mph59%1%
    21:00+73°—8 mphnortheast wind, 8 mph78%21%
    22:00+71°—7 mphnortheast wind, 7 mph80%100%
    23:00+70°—6 mphnortheast wind, 6 mph84%97%
    +86°+78°+70°
    Weather throughout the day
    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00

    Sun and moon

    Saturday, September 5
    The day: daylight and the hours the moon is above the horizon. Local time0:0012:0024:00
    DaylightMoon above the horizon
    Sunrise
    06:51
    Sunset
    19:41
    Day length
    12 h 50 min
    Sunshine hours
    6 h
    UV index
    5
    moderate
    Moon
    Waning crescent
    Moonrise
    00:04
    Moonset
    15:59

    The day is 2 min shorter than yesterday.

    Sunshine hours count direct sun only — cloud cover cuts it, so it is shorter than daylight.

    Solunar feeding periods

    +14% in the windowSaturday, September 5
    Feeding windows on the day scale, local time0:0012:0024:00
    Major periodsMinor periods
    • Minor00:00–00:34Moonrise
    • Major07:02–09:02Moon overhead
    • Minor15:29–16:29Moonset
    • Major19:34–21:34Moon underfoot

    The windows are set by the moon's transit and rise, and the forecast above already accounts for them: within these hours the bite score sits higher than across the rest of the day, while the day's overall level still comes from the catch-calibrated model.

    What are solunar periods?

    BiteGuide·From anglers’ reports

    What actually worked on this water

    Based on 6 verified catchesPeriod: 2018

    This is a summary of anglers' reports, not a proven cause of the bite: conditions lining up does not mean they drove it.

    By fish species

    vertical axis — number of catches

    035
    51
    Largemouth bassBlue catfish
    By fish species
    ValueCatchesShare
    Largemouth bass583%
    Blue catfish117%

    By month

    vertical axis — number of catches

    023
    231
    JulAugOct
    By month
    ValueCatchesShare
    Jul233%
    Aug350%
    Oct117%

    Nearby rivers

    • Boars Creekw3 mi
    • Chopawamsic Creek4 mi
    • Aquia Creek8 mi

    Nearby water bodies

    • LakeSmith Lake2 mi
    • PondLong Pond5 mi
    • ReservoirBreckenridge Reservoir6 mi
    • BayMallows Bay6 mi
    • BayMallows Bay6 mi
    • ReservoirPotomac Creek Site Two Lake6 mi
    • ReservoirLunga Lake Reservoir7 mi
    • LakeAbel Lake7 mi
    • ReservoirHenderson Lake7 mi
    • ReservoirHappyland Camp Five Lake8 mi

    Measured river conditions are available for Aquia Creek: current gauge height, streamflow, and water temperature when reported by the source.

    Water

    Gauge height
    0.44 ft
    Streamflow
    1 ft³/s

    USGS gauge AQUIA CREEK NEAR GARRISONVILLE, VA, 3 mi away · measured 2026-09-05 01:30 · data source · provisional data, subject to revision