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© 2026·AI-powered bite forecast
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United States / Virginia / Bay Floods Hole

Bite forecast: Bay Floods Hole

  • 8 acres
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Best fishing days for the next week

  1. TuesdaySeptember 8weather-based forecast
    60/100high activity

    Partly cloudy: 57–84 °F

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Nearby rivers

  • Grundland Creek0.4 mi
  • Wallace Creek0.7 mi
  • Long Creek1 mi
  • Salt Pond3 mi
  • Harris River3 mi
  • Northwest Branch Back River5 mi
  • Tabbs Creek5 mi
  • Southwest Branch Back River5 mi
  • Herberts Creek5 mi
  • Brights Creek5 mi

Nearby water bodies

  • LakeHawkins Pond1 mi
  • BayDrum Island Flats4 mi
  • PondTide Mill Pond6 mi
  • LakeHampton Lake6 mi
  • LakeColiseum Lake7 mi
  • ReservoirLynnhaven Lakes8 mi

Bay Floods Hole (Virginia) — a popular fishing spot. About 3 ha in area. Nearby towns: Hampton, Poquoson and Newport News. This is a sea water — its bite forecast is a marine one, computed apart from rivers and lakes. This page shows an hourly bite forecast for today and the week ahead; the algorithm factors in the weather, atmospheric pressure, and the moon phase.

ThursdaySeptember 3weather-based forecast
55/100medium activity

Clear: 73–91 °F

  • FridaySeptember 4weather-based forecast
    51/100medium activity

    Clear: 75–95 °F

  • Nearby towns

    • Hampton6 mi
    • Poquoson6 mi
    • Newport News12 mi

    Bite calendar

    Aug 31 – Sep 6
    Mon
    Tue
    Wed
    Thu
    Fri
    Sat
    Sun
    Bite activity:highmediumlowslow
    Based on:weatherseasonal
    What is a bite calendar?
    Red drumBlack drumFlounderStriped bassBluefishCobiaSheepsheadKing mackerelSpanish mackerelSpotted seatroutTarpon

    Black drum

    6/10 · Fair

    Hourly activity

    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00
    Bite activity:highmediumlow

    The bite is moderate — fish feed in short bursts. Pressure is dropping — this usually boosts the bite.

    Peak bite hours

    Best time — 00:00–05:00 and 23:00–23:00 (nighttime activity).

    Tactics

    Look for structure — reefs, flats, channel edges; work them slowly near the bottom.

    Lures

    In clear water, natural colors work best: soft-plastic jig or live bait.

    Gear

    It's a hot day — a hat, sunglasses, and plenty of water are a must.

    Summary

    An average day — best chances during peak windows.

    How this forecast is calculated

    Why this forecast

    The computed water temperature is around 74 °F — inside the 61–79 °F comfort range for Black drum, so baseline activity is high.

    Computed water temperature by month; the green band is the 61–79 °F comfort rangecomfort 61–79 °F74 °F
    JFMAMJJASOND

    Black drum feeds at night: the peak falls in the dark hours, between sunset and sunrise.

    The day: daylight hours and when Black drum feeds0:0012:0024:00

    Pressure is flat: it moves no more than 0.00 inHg over the day, so the weather isn't shifting today's bite.

    Pressure through the day, 0.00 inHg change
    00:00 · 30.0123:00 · 30.01 inHg

    One more input — the moon's feeding windows: within their hours the score sits higher than across the rest of the day. The window times are in the “Solunar feeding periods” card below.

    Feeding windows on the day scale0:0012:0024:00

    September is an active season for Black drum here.

    JFMAMJJASOND

    These are the same values the bite curve above was computed from. How the forecast works

    Tides

    • Low water05:48-2.7 ft
    • High water12:200.2 ft
    • Low water18:42-1.8 ft
    0:006:0012:0018:0023:000:006:0012:0018:0023:00
    Sea level height by hour
    00:0001:0002:0003:0004:0005:0006:0007:0008:0009:0010:0011:0012:0013:0014:0015:0016:0017:0018:0019:0020:0021:0022:0023:00
    -0.4 ft-0.7 ft-1.1 ft-1.6 ft-2.1 ft-2.6 ft-2.7 ft-2.4 ft-2.0 ft-1.5 ft-0.8 ft-0.1 ft0.2 ft0.1 ft-0.1 ft-0.5 ft-0.9 ft-1.4 ft-1.8 ft-1.8 ft-1.7 ft-1.4 ft-0.9 ft-0.4 ft

    Open-Meteo tide model, grid point 9.5 mi away

    Water

    Water temp.
    86 °F
    In the model
    74 °F
    Wave
    Calm

    Open-Meteo Marine model, grid cell 9.5 mi from the waterbody. Values are daily means.

    2 SepWednesday, September 2
    +87°

    Clear · feels like +94°

    Low / high
    +73°…+91°
    Precipitation
    0.00 in
    Wind
    2 mph SW
    Cloud cover
    0%
    Humidity
    50%
    Pressure
    30.08 inHg
    00:00+76°—5 mphnorthwest wind, 5 mph63%0%
    01:00+75°—6 mphwest wind, 6 mph63%0%
    02:00+75°—6 mphnorthwest wind, 6 mph62%0%
    03:00+74°—6 mphnorthwest wind, 6 mph64%0%
    04:00+74°—5 mphnorthwest wind, 5 mph62%0%
    05:00+73°—1 mphwest wind, 1 mph61%0%
    06:00+73°—2 mphwest wind, 2 mph61%0%
    07:00+73°—1 mphnorthwest wind, 1 mph61%0%
    08:00+75°—2 mphnorthwest wind, 2 mph61%0%
    09:00+79°—1 mphsouthwest wind, 1 mph62%0%
    10:00+82°—2 mphsouthwest wind, 2 mph59%0%
    11:00+85°—3 mphsouth wind, 3 mph54%0%
    12:00+87°—2 mphsouthwest wind, 2 mph50%0%
    13:00+88°—5 mphwest wind, 5 mph46%0%
    14:00+89°—6 mphwest wind, 6 mph42%0%
    15:00+90°—5 mphwest wind, 5 mph40%0%
    16:00+91°—4 mphwest wind, 4 mph38%0%
    17:00+90°—5 mphwest wind, 5 mph38%1%
    18:00+90°—4 mphwest wind, 4 mph40%0%
    19:00+87°—3 mphsouthwest wind, 3 mph45%0%
    20:00+84°—5 mphwest wind, 5 mph46%0%
    21:00+83°—6 mphwest wind, 6 mph48%17%
    22:00+82°—7 mphnorthwest wind, 7 mph46%19%
    23:00+82°—7 mphnorthwest wind, 7 mph47%16%
    +91°+82°+73°
    Weather throughout the day
    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00

    Sun and moon

    Wednesday, September 2
    The day: daylight and the hours the moon is above the horizon. Local time0:0012:0024:00
    DaylightMoon above the horizon
    Sunrise
    06:48
    Sunset
    19:45
    Day length
    12 h 57 min
    Sunshine hours
    12 h
    UV index
    6
    high
    Moon
    Waning gibbous
    Moonrise
    22:20
    Moonset
    12:26

    The day is 2 min shorter than yesterday.

    Sunshine hours count direct sun only — cloud cover cuts it, so it is shorter than daylight.

    Solunar feeding periods

    +14% in the windowWednesday, September 2
    Feeding windows on the day scale, local time0:0012:0024:00
    Major periodsMinor periods
    • Major03:59–05:59Moon overhead
    • Minor11:56–12:56Moonset
    • Major16:26–18:26Moon underfoot
    • Minor21:50–22:50Moonrise

    The windows are set by the moon's transit and rise, and the forecast above already accounts for them: within these hours the bite score sits higher than across the rest of the day, while the day's overall level still comes from the catch-calibrated model.

    What are solunar periods?