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Where to fish

  • Forecast
  • Catches

Mine

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© 2026·AI-powered bite forecast
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United States / Virginia / Mobjack Bay

Bite forecast: Mobjack Bay

  • 33.1 sq mi
Loading map…

Best fishing days for the next week

  1. WednesdaySeptember 9weather-based forecast
    60/100high activity

    Clear: 57–90 °F

  2. ThursdaySeptember 10weather-based forecast
    59/100medium activity

    Partly cloudy: 63–93 °F

  3. TuesdaySeptember 8weather-based forecast
    53/100medium activity

    Cloudy: 52–81 °F

Nearby towns

  • Poquoson10 mi

Mobjack Bay (Virginia) — a spot well known among anglers. About 85.8 km² in area. Nearest town — Poquoson. A coastal water: the bite here is modelled for the sea, not for a river or a lake. This page shows an hourly bite forecast for today and the week ahead; the algorithm factors in the weather, atmospheric pressure, and the moon phase.

Nearby rivers

  • Butler Creek5 mi
  • Perrin River5 mi
  • Willett's Creek5 mi
  • Free School Creek5 mi
  • York Spit Channel6 mi
  • Sarah Creek8 mi
  • East River8 mi
  • Put in Creek8 mi

Nearby water bodies

  • BayBrowns Bay2 mi
  • LakeCaucus Bay3 mi
  • BayWinter Harbor7 mi
  • PondBaxter Pond9 mi
  • LakeGarden Creek9 mi
Loading map…

Bite calendar

Aug 31 – Sep 6
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
Bite activity:highmediumlowslow
Based on:weatherseasonal
What is a bite calendar?
Red drumStriped bassBluefishFlounderBlack drumCobiaSheepsheadKing mackerelSpanish mackerelSpotted seatroutTarpon

Black drum

5/10 · Fair

Hourly activity

0:006:0012:0018:0023:00
Bite activity:highmediumlow

The bite is moderate — fish feed in short bursts. Pressure is dropping — this usually boosts the bite.

Peak bite hours

Best time — 00:00–05:00 (nighttime activity).

Tactics

Look for structure — reefs, flats, channel edges; work them slowly near the bottom.

Lures

The water's turning murky — go with bright, noisy lures: soft-plastic jig or live bait.

Gear

No special gear needed — seasonal clothing will do. Rain is expected — don't forget a rain jacket or a waterproof shell.

Summary

An average day — best chances during peak windows.

How this forecast is calculated

Why this forecast

The computed water temperature is around 68 °F — inside the 61–79 °F comfort range for Black drum, so baseline activity is high.

Computed water temperature by month; the green band is the 61–79 °F comfort rangecomfort 61–79 °F68 °F
JFMAMJJASOND

Black drum feeds at night: the peak falls in the dark hours, between sunset and sunrise.

The day: daylight hours and when Black drum feeds0:0012:0024:00

Pressure is rising 0.18 inHg over the day — the bite usually settles down after a rise.

Pressure through the day, 0.18 inHg change
00:00 · 29.8623:00 · 30.04 inHg

One more input — the moon's feeding windows: within their hours the score sits higher than across the rest of the day. The window times are in the “Solunar feeding periods” card below.

Feeding windows on the day scale0:0012:0024:00

September is an active season for Black drum here.

JFMAMJJASOND

These are the same values the bite curve above was computed from. How the forecast works

Tides

  • High water04:30-0.2 ft
  • Low water10:42-1.4 ft
  • High water17:300.5 ft
0:006:0012:0018:0023:000:006:0012:0018:0023:00
Sea level height by hour
00:0001:0002:0003:0004:0005:0006:0007:0008:0009:0010:0011:0012:0013:0014:0015:0016:0017:0018:0019:0020:0021:0022:0023:00
-1.3 ft-0.9 ft-0.5 ft-0.3 ft-0.2 ft-0.2 ft-0.4 ft-0.7 ft-1.1 ft-1.3 ft-1.4 ft-1.4 ft-1.3 ft-0.8 ft-0.2 ft0.2 ft0.4 ft0.5 ft0.5 ft0.3 ft-0.2 ft-0.5 ft-0.7 ft-0.9 ft

Open-Meteo tide model, grid point 5.9 mi away

Water

Water temp.
85 °F
In the model
68 °F
Wave
1.0 ft
Period
3 s

Open-Meteo Marine model, grid cell 5.9 mi from the waterbody. Values are daily means.

6 SepSunday, September 6
+73°

Drizzle · feels like +74°

Low / high
+62°…+76°
Precipitation
0.01 in
Wind
12 mph NE
Cloud cover
0%
Humidity
70%
Pressure
29.89 inHg
00:00+63°0.05 in2 mphnorthwest wind, 2 mph97%100%
01:00+63°0.02 in3 mphnorthwest wind, 3 mph97%100%
02:00+62°0.00 in2 mphnorth wind, 2 mph98%17%
03:00+62°—1 mphnorth wind, 1 mph98%29%
04:00+64°—2 mphnorthwest wind, 2 mph97%100%
05:00+64°—2 mphnorthwest wind, 2 mph97%100%
06:00+63°—2 mphnorth wind, 2 mph98%40%
07:00+63°—4 mphnorth wind, 4 mph98%81%
08:00+64°—5 mphnortheast wind, 5 mph97%98%
09:00+67°—6 mphnortheast wind, 6 mph92%75%
10:00+71°0.00 in7 mphnortheast wind, 7 mph80%3%
11:00+73°0.01 in11 mphnortheast wind, 11 mph71%4%
12:00+73°0.01 in12 mphnortheast wind, 12 mph70%0%
13:00+75°0.00 in14 mphnortheast wind, 14 mph63%59%
14:00+76°—13 mphnortheast wind, 13 mph59%61%
15:00+71°0.02 in12 mphnortheast wind, 12 mph76%89%
16:00+69°0.03 in11 mphnortheast wind, 11 mph83%87%
17:00+70°0.01 in8 mphnortheast wind, 8 mph78%90%
18:00+71°0.00 in9 mphnortheast wind, 9 mph70%65%
19:00+70°0.00 in9 mphnortheast wind, 9 mph70%85%
20:00+68°—8 mphnortheast wind, 8 mph72%100%
21:00+65°—6 mphnortheast wind, 6 mph80%93%
22:00+64°—5 mphnortheast wind, 5 mph87%96%
23:00+62°0.00 in6 mphnortheast wind, 6 mph90%100%
+76°+69°+62°
Weather throughout the day
0:006:0012:0018:0023:00

Sun and moon

Sunday, September 6
The day: daylight and the hours the moon is above the horizon. Local time0:0012:0024:00
DaylightMoon above the horizon
Sunrise
06:51
Sunset
19:39
Day length
12 h 48 min
Sunshine hours
12 h 2 min
UV index
6
high
Moon
Waning crescent
Moonrise
01:11
Moonset
16:44

The day is 2 min shorter than yesterday.

Sunshine hours count direct sun only — cloud cover cuts it, so it is shorter than daylight.

Solunar feeding periods

+12% in the windowSunday, September 6
Feeding windows on the day scale, local time0:0012:0024:00
Major periodsMinor periods
  • Minor00:41–01:41Moonrise
  • Major08:01–10:01Moon overhead
  • Minor16:14–17:14Moonset
  • Major20:31–22:31Moon underfoot

The windows are set by the moon's transit and rise, and the forecast above already accounts for them: within these hours the bite score sits higher than across the rest of the day, while the day's overall level still comes from the catch-calibrated model.

What are solunar periods?