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United States / Virginia / Bay The Narrows

Bite forecast: Bay The Narrows

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Best fishing days for the next week

  1. WednesdaySeptember 9weather-based forecast
    60/100high activity

    Cloudy: 55–90 °F

Bay The Narrows (Virginia) — a popular fishing spot. This is a sea water — its bite forecast is a marine one, computed apart from rivers and lakes. See when the bite is best: hourly fish activity for the days ahead, computed from the weather, pressure, and season.

ThursdaySeptember 10weather-based forecast
60/100high activity

Partly cloudy: 64–86 °F

  • SaturdaySeptember 5weather-based forecast
    54/100medium activity

    Cloudy: 72–86 °F

  • Nearby rivers

    • Cuckold Creek3 mi
    • Woodland Branch8 mi

    Nearby water bodies

    • BayThe Narrows0 mi
    • BayHutchins Cove1 mi
    • BayHutchins Cove1 mi
    • BayOld House Cove1 mi
    • BayOld House Cove1 mi
    • BayBrooks Cove2 mi
    • BayBrooks Cove2 mi
    • LakeDrum Point Lake2 mi
    • ReservoirLake Charming2 mi
    • LakeWest Patuxent Basin2 mi
    Loading map…

    Bite calendar

    Saturday, September 5

    Aug 31 – Sep 6
    Mon
    Tue
    Wed
    Thu
    Fri
    Sat
    Sun
    Bite activity:highmediumlowslow
    Based on:weatherseasonal
    What is a bite calendar?
    FlounderRed drumBluefishStriped bassBlack drumCobiaKing mackerelSheepsheadSpanish mackerelTarponSpotted seatrout

    Black drum

    6/10 · Fair

    Hourly activity

    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00
    Bite activity:highmediumlow

    The bite is moderate — fish feed in short bursts. Pressure is dropping — this usually boosts the bite.

    Peak bite hours

    Best time — 00:00–04:00 and 23:00–23:00 (nighttime activity).

    Tactics

    Look for structure — reefs, flats, channel edges; work them slowly near the bottom.

    Lures

    In clear water, natural colors work best: soft-plastic jig or live bait.

    Gear

    It's a hot day — a hat, sunglasses, and plenty of water are a must.

    Summary

    An average day — best chances during peak windows.

    How this forecast is calculated

    Why this forecast

    The computed water temperature is around 72 °F — inside the 61–79 °F comfort range for Black drum, so baseline activity is high.

    Computed water temperature by month; the green band is the 61–79 °F comfort rangecomfort 61–79 °F72 °F
    JFMAMJJASOND

    Black drum feeds at night: the peak falls in the dark hours, between sunset and sunrise.

    The day: daylight hours and when Black drum feeds0:0012:0024:00

    Pressure is dropping 0.03 inHg over the day — fish are usually more active ahead of a weather change.

    Pressure through the day, 0.03 inHg change
    00:00 · 29.9323:00 · 29.89 inHg

    One more input — the moon's feeding windows: within their hours the score sits higher than across the rest of the day. The window times are in the “Solunar feeding periods” card below.

    Feeding windows on the day scale0:0012:0024:00

    September is an active season for Black drum here.

    JFMAMJJASOND

    These are the same values the bite curve above was computed from. How the forecast works

    Water

    Water temp.
    85 °F
    In the model
    72 °F
    Wave
    0.5 ft
    Period
    2 s

    Open-Meteo Marine model, grid cell 9.8 mi from the waterbody. Values are daily means.

    5 SepSaturday, September 5
    +78°

    Cloudy · feels like +77°

    Low / high
    +70°…+86°
    Precipitation
    0.00 in
    Wind
    15 mph WNW
    Cloud cover
    100%
    Humidity
    61%
    Pressure
    29.87 inHg
    00:00+76°—4 mphwest wind, 4 mph60%0%
    01:00+75°—3 mphsouthwest wind, 3 mph61%6%
    02:00+75°—3 mphsouthwest wind, 3 mph59%10%
    03:00+74°—2 mphnorthwest wind, 2 mph60%35%
    04:00+73°—3 mphnorthwest wind, 3 mph63%0%
    05:00+73°—5 mphwest wind, 5 mph65%30%
    06:00+73°—5 mphwest wind, 5 mph67%91%
    07:00+72°—5 mphwest wind, 5 mph66%100%
    08:00+74°—6 mphnorthwest wind, 6 mph68%92%
    09:00+75°—11 mphwest wind, 11 mph73%100%
    10:00+79°—9 mphwest wind, 9 mph56%100%
    11:00+80°—16 mphnorthwest wind, 16 mph54%100%
    12:00+78°—15 mphnorthwest wind, 15 mph61%100%
    13:00+81°—8 mphnorthwest wind, 8 mph49%98%
    14:00+84°—10 mphnorthwest wind, 10 mph43%66%
    15:00+86°—9 mphnorthwest wind, 9 mph38%94%
    16:00+86°—12 mphnorthwest wind, 12 mph42%100%
    17:00+83°—11 mphnorthwest wind, 11 mph46%100%
    18:00+83°—9 mphnorthwest wind, 9 mph49%19%
    19:00+80°—8 mphnorthwest wind, 8 mph54%1%
    20:00+77°—6 mphnorthwest wind, 6 mph59%1%
    21:00+73°—8 mphnortheast wind, 8 mph78%21%
    22:00+71°—7 mphnortheast wind, 7 mph80%100%
    23:00+70°—6 mphnortheast wind, 6 mph84%97%
    +86°+78°+70°
    Weather throughout the day
    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00

    Sun and moon

    Saturday, September 5
    The day: daylight and the hours the moon is above the horizon. Local time0:0012:0024:00
    DaylightMoon above the horizon
    Sunrise
    06:51
    Sunset
    19:41
    Day length
    12 h 50 min
    Sunshine hours
    6 h
    UV index
    5
    moderate
    Moon
    Waning crescent
    Moonrise
    00:00
    Moonset
    15:54

    The day is 2 min shorter than yesterday.

    Sunshine hours count direct sun only — cloud cover cuts it, so it is shorter than daylight.

    Solunar feeding periods

    +14% in the windowSaturday, September 5
    Feeding windows on the day scale, local time0:0012:0024:00
    Major periodsMinor periods
    • Minor00:00–00:30Moonrise
    • Major06:58–08:58Moon overhead
    • Minor15:24–16:24Moonset
    • Major19:30–21:30Moon underfoot

    The windows are set by the moon's transit and rise, and the forecast above already accounts for them: within these hours the bite score sits higher than across the rest of the day, while the day's overall level still comes from the catch-calibrated model.

    What are solunar periods?