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Canada / Ontario / Arrell Lake

Bite forecast: Arrell Lake

  • 68 ha
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Best fishing days for the next week

  1. TuesdaySeptember 8weather-based forecast
    75/100high activity

    Cloudy: 3–17 °C

Arrell Lake (Ontario) — a spot well known among anglers. About 68 ha in area. A smart bite calendar — moon phase, atmospheric pressure, and weather combined into an hourly fish-activity forecast for the coming days.

WednesdaySeptember 9weather-based forecast
74/100high activity

Cloudy: 15–24 °C

  • SundaySeptember 6weather-based forecast
    69/100high activity

    Cloudy: 12–25 °C

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    Nearby water bodies

    • LakeDempster Lake4 km
    • LakeHainsworth Lake4 km
    • LakeWest Gravel River5 km
    • LakeKabamichigama Lake5 km
    • LakeWest Gravel River5 km
    • LakeTrapnarrows Creek6 km
    • LakeCroon Creek7 km
    • LakeBarbaro Lake7 km
    • LakeKlersy Creek7 km
    • LakeKlersy Creek8 km

    Bite calendar

    7–Sep 13
    Mon
    Tue
    Wed
    Thu
    Fri
    Sat
    Sun
    Bite activity:highmediumlowslow
    Based on:weatherseasonal
    What is a bite calendar?
    CarpCoho salmonLargemouth bassYellow perchBrook troutLake sturgeonMuskellungePikeSaugerSmallmouth bassWalleyeWhitefishBrown troutChannel catfishSteelheadRainbow troutBlack crappieChinook salmonLake troutBurbotRainbow smelt

    Black crappie

    6/10 · Fair

    Hourly activity

    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00
    Bite activity:highmediumlow

    The bite is strong — fish are active. Pressure is dropping — this usually boosts the bite.

    Peak bite hours

    Best time — 07:00–08:00 (dawn bite) and 19:00–21:00 (dusk bite).

    Tactics

    Look for drop-offs and gaps in the weeds, retrieve slowly, lingering over promising spots.

    Lures

    The water's turning murky — go with bright, noisy lures: small jig or minnow bait.

    Gear

    No special gear needed — seasonal clothing will do. Rain is expected — don't forget a rain jacket or a waterproof shell.

    Summary

    Worth going — it's a productive day.

    How this forecast is calculated

    Why this forecast

    The computed water temperature is around 16 °C — inside the 14–24 °C comfort range for Black crappie, so baseline activity is high.

    Computed water temperature by month; the green band is the 14–24 °C comfort rangecomfort 14–24 °C16 °C
    JFMAMJJASOND

    Black crappie works the twilight: the peaks are pinned to sunrise and sunset — their times are in the sun-and-moon card above.

    The day: daylight hours and when Black crappie feeds0:0012:0024:00

    Pressure is dropping 13 hPa over the day — fish are usually more active ahead of a weather change.

    Pressure through the day, 13 hPa change
    00:00 · 101323:00 · 1000 hPa

    One more input — the moon's feeding windows: within their hours the score sits higher than across the rest of the day. The window times are in the “Solunar feeding periods” card below.

    Feeding windows on the day scale0:0012:0024:00

    September is an active season for Black crappie here.

    JFMAMJJASOND

    These are the same values the bite curve above was computed from. How the forecast works

    9 SepWednesday, September 9
    +18°

    Cloudy · feels like +17°

    Low / high
    +12°…+24°
    Precipitation
    0.0 mm
    Wind
    5 m/s WSW
    Cloud cover
    98%
    Humidity
    89%
    Pressure
    1003 hPa
    00:00+12°0.1 mm5 m/ssouth wind, 5 m/s95%100%
    01:00+13°0.1 mm5 m/ssouth wind, 5 m/s95%100%
    02:00+13°0.1 mm5 m/ssouth wind, 5 m/s96%100%
    03:00+14°0.3 mm5 m/ssouth wind, 5 m/s96%100%
    04:00+14°0.3 mm5 m/ssouth wind, 5 m/s97%100%
    05:00+14°0.3 mm5 m/ssouth wind, 5 m/s97%100%
    06:00+15°0.1 mm5 m/ssouth wind, 5 m/s97%100%
    07:00+15°0.1 mm5 m/ssouth wind, 5 m/s97%100%
    08:00+15°0.1 mm5 m/ssouthwest wind, 5 m/s97%100%
    09:00+15°—5 m/ssouthwest wind, 5 m/s98%100%
    10:00+16°—5 m/ssouthwest wind, 5 m/s99%100%
    11:00+16°—5 m/ssouthwest wind, 5 m/s97%100%
    12:00+18°—5 m/ssouthwest wind, 5 m/s89%98%
    13:00+20°—5 m/swest wind, 5 m/s78%94%
    14:00+22°—5 m/swest wind, 5 m/s68%85%
    15:00+23°—5 m/swest wind, 5 m/s59%65%
    16:00+24°—4 m/ssouthwest wind, 4 m/s50%40%
    17:00+24°—3 m/ssouthwest wind, 3 m/s47%29%
    18:00+23°—3 m/swest wind, 3 m/s53%46%
    19:00+20°—4 m/snorthwest wind, 4 m/s64%77%
    20:00+18°—6 m/snorthwest wind, 6 m/s73%100%
    21:00+16°0.1 mm6 m/snorthwest wind, 6 m/s78%100%
    22:00+15°0.1 mm6 m/swest wind, 6 m/s81%100%
    23:00+14°0.1 mm6 m/swest wind, 6 m/s83%100%
    +24°+18°+12°
    Weather throughout the day
    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00

    Sun and moon

    Wednesday, September 9
    The day: daylight and the hours the moon is above the horizon. Local time0:0012:0024:00
    DaylightMoon above the horizon
    Sunrise
    06:55
    Sunset
    19:56
    Day length
    13 h 1 min
    Sunshine hours
    6 h 2 min
    UV index
    2
    low
    Moon
    Waning crescent
    Moonrise
    05:18
    Moonset
    19:40

    The day is 4 min shorter than yesterday.

    Sunshine hours count direct sun only — cloud cover cuts it, so it is shorter than daylight.

    Solunar feeding periods

    +14% in the windowWednesday, September 9
    Feeding windows on the day scale, local time0:0012:0024:00
    Major periodsMinor periods
    • Major00:00–01:13Moon underfoot
    • Minor04:48–05:48Moonrise
    • Major11:38–13:38Moon overhead
    • Minor19:10–20:10Moonset

    The windows are set by the moon's transit and rise, and the forecast above already accounts for them: within these hours the bite score sits higher than across the rest of the day, while the day's overall level still comes from the catch-calibrated model.

    What are solunar periods?