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Forecast
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© 2026·AI-powered bite forecast
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United States / Connecticut / Lake Muddy River Pond

Bite forecast: Lake Muddy River Pond

  • 22 acres
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Best fishing days for the next week

  1. ThursdaySeptember 3weather-based forecast
    66/100high activity

    Cloudy: 66–81 °F

Lake Muddy River Pond (Connecticut) — a popular fishing spot. About 9 ha in area. Nearby towns: New Haven and Ansonia. This page shows an hourly bite forecast for today and the week ahead; the algorithm factors in the weather, atmospheric pressure, and the moon phase.

TuesdaySeptember 8weather-based forecast
66/100high activity

Cloudy: 59–79 °F

  • FridaySeptember 4weather-based forecast
    62/100high activity

    Clear: 61–86 °F

  • Nearby towns

    • New Haven5 mi
    • Ansonia11 mi

    Nearby rivers

    • Shepard Brook3 mi
    • Mill River3 mi
    • Muddy River3 mi
    • Farm River3 mi

    Nearby water bodies

    • PondBruces Ice Pond0.8 mi
    • LakeShares Clay Pit Pond No 22 mi
    • LakeDavis Clay Pit Pond2 mi
    • ReservoirLake Whitney3 mi
    • LakeFoxon Pond3 mi
    • ReservoirPages Millpond3 mi
    • PondAugurs Ice Pond3 mi
    • ReservoirFarm Brook Site 2A Reservoir4 mi
    • PondGraniss Pond4 mi
    • PondLidyhites Pond4 mi
    Loading map…

    Bite calendar

    Aug 31 – Sep 6
    Mon
    Tue
    Wed
    Thu
    Fri
    Sat
    Sun
    Bite activity:highmediumlowslow
    Based on:weatherseasonal
    What is a bite calendar?
    Yellow perchPikeSmallmouth bassStriped bassWalleyeBlack crappieBluegillBrook troutCarpChannel catfishLargemouth bassWhite crappieBrown troutRainbow trout

    Black crappie

    6/10 · Fair

    Hourly activity

    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00
    Bite activity:highmediumlow

    The bite is moderate — fish feed in short bursts. Pressure is dropping — this usually boosts the bite.

    Peak bite hours

    Best time — 06:00–08:00 (dawn bite) and 19:00–21:00 (dusk bite).

    Tactics

    Look for drop-offs and gaps in the weeds, retrieve slowly, lingering over promising spots.

    Lures

    In clear water, natural colors work best: small jig or minnow bait.

    Gear

    It's a hot day — a hat, sunglasses, and plenty of water are a must.

    Summary

    An average day — best chances during peak windows.

    How this forecast is calculated

    Why this forecast

    The computed water temperature is around 71 °F — inside the 57–75 °F comfort range for Black crappie, so baseline activity is high.

    Computed water temperature by month; the green band is the 57–75 °F comfort rangecomfort 57–75 °F71 °F
    JFMAMJJASOND

    Black crappie works the twilight: the peaks are pinned to sunrise and sunset — their times are in the sun-and-moon card above.

    The day: daylight hours and when Black crappie feeds0:0012:0024:00

    Pressure is dropping 0.12 inHg over the day — fish are usually more active ahead of a weather change.

    Pressure through the day, 0.12 inHg change
    00:00 · 29.8723:00 · 29.74 inHg

    One more input — the moon's feeding windows: within their hours the score sits higher than across the rest of the day. The window times are in the “Solunar feeding periods” card below.

    Feeding windows on the day scale0:0012:0024:00

    September is an active season for Black crappie here.

    JFMAMJJASOND

    These are the same values the bite curve above was computed from. How the forecast works

    4 SepFriday, September 4
    +82°

    Clear · feels like +85°

    Low / high
    +61°…+86°
    Precipitation
    0.00 in
    Wind
    6 mph WNW
    Cloud cover
    0%
    Humidity
    50%
    Pressure
    29.81 inHg
    00:00+67°—3 mphnorthwest wind, 3 mph93%17%
    01:00+65°—3 mphnorthwest wind, 3 mph94%15%
    02:00+65°—3 mphnorthwest wind, 3 mph94%100%
    03:00+64°—4 mphnorthwest wind, 4 mph92%100%
    04:00+63°—4 mphnorthwest wind, 4 mph92%100%
    05:00+62°—4 mphnorthwest wind, 4 mph91%100%
    06:00+61°—4 mphnorthwest wind, 4 mph92%95%
    07:00+62°—4 mphnorthwest wind, 4 mph91%100%
    08:00+66°—3 mphnorthwest wind, 3 mph88%100%
    09:00+71°—5 mphnorthwest wind, 5 mph75%100%
    10:00+76°—6 mphnorthwest wind, 6 mph58%0%
    11:00+79°—7 mphnorthwest wind, 7 mph54%5%
    12:00+82°—6 mphnorthwest wind, 6 mph50%0%
    13:00+84°—6 mphwest wind, 6 mph47%0%
    14:00+86°—7 mphnorthwest wind, 7 mph42%27%
    15:00+86°—8 mphwest wind, 8 mph41%11%
    16:00+85°—8 mphwest wind, 8 mph42%63%
    17:00+82°—6 mphnorthwest wind, 6 mph51%100%
    18:00+76°—3 mphnorthwest wind, 3 mph68%100%
    19:00+73°—5 mphnorth wind, 5 mph66%100%
    20:00+70°—3 mphnorthwest wind, 3 mph66%100%
    21:00+69°—4 mphnorthwest wind, 4 mph69%100%
    22:00+66°—4 mphnorthwest wind, 4 mph75%100%
    23:00+64°—6 mphnorthwest wind, 6 mph84%5%
    +86°+74°+61°
    Weather throughout the day
    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00

    Sun and moon

    Friday, September 4
    The day: daylight and the hours the moon is above the horizon. Local time0:0012:0024:00
    DaylightMoon above the horizon
    Sunrise
    06:18
    Sunset
    19:17
    Day length
    12 h 59 min
    Sunshine hours
    11 h 11 min
    UV index
    6
    high
    Moon
    Last quarter
    Moonrise
    23:35
    Moonset
    14:52

    The day is 3 min shorter than yesterday.

    Sunshine hours count direct sun only — cloud cover cuts it, so it is shorter than daylight.

    Solunar feeding periods

    +11% in the windowFriday, September 4
    Feeding windows on the day scale, local time0:0012:0024:00
    Major periodsMinor periods
    • Major05:43–07:43Moon overhead
    • Minor14:22–15:22Moonset
    • Major18:14–20:14Moon underfoot
    • Minor23:05–00:00Moonrise

    The windows are set by the moon's transit and rise, and the forecast above already accounts for them: within these hours the bite score sits higher than across the rest of the day, while the day's overall level still comes from the catch-calibrated model.

    What are solunar periods?