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Where to fish

  • Forecast
  • Catches

Mine

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© 2026·AI-powered bite forecast
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United States / Florida / First Bay

Bite forecast: First Bay

  • 1.1 sq mi
Loading map…

Best fishing days for the next week

  1. ThursdaySeptember 10weather-based forecast
    34/100medium activity

    Partly cloudy: 75–95 °F

  2. SaturdaySeptember 5weather-based forecast
    31/100medium activity

    Drizzle: 77–84 °F

  3. WednesdaySeptember 9weather-based forecast
    30/100medium activity

    Clear: 75–95 °F

First Bay (Florida) — one of the area's fishing spots. About 2.8 km² in area. Salt water, not fresh — so this page carries its own marine bite forecast. A smart bite calendar — moon phase, atmospheric pressure, and weather combined into an hourly fish-activity forecast for the coming days.

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Nearby rivers

  • Lostmans River0.3 mi
  • Rodgers River6 mi
  • Plate Creek8 mi
  • Broad Creek9 mi

Nearby water bodies

  • BayWood Key Cove3 mi
  • BaySecond Bay3 mi
  • BayToms Bight4 mi
  • BayAlligator Cove5 mi

Bite calendar

7–Sep 13
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
Bite activity:highmediumlowslow
Based on:weatherseasonal
What is a bite calendar?
Red drumBlack drumCobiaFlounderRed snapperSheepsheadStriped bassBluefishKing mackerelMahi-mahiSnookSpanish mackerelSpotted seatroutTarpon

Black drum

7/10 · Good

Hourly activity

0:006:0012:0018:0023:00
Bite activity:highmediumlow

The bite is strong — fish are active. Pressure is rising — activity tends to be more subdued.

Peak bite hours

Best time — 00:00–05:00 and 23:00–23:00 (nighttime activity).

Tactics

Look for structure — reefs, flats, channel edges; work them slowly near the bottom.

Lures

In clear water, natural colors work best: soft-plastic jig or live bait.

Gear

It's a hot day — a hat, sunglasses, and plenty of water are a must.

Summary

Worth going — it's a productive day.

How this forecast is calculated

Why this forecast

The computed water temperature is around 81 °F — warmer than the 61–79 °F comfort range for Black drum: in the heat it drops deeper and feeds less often.

Computed water temperature by month; the green band is the 61–79 °F comfort rangecomfort 61–79 °F81 °F
JFMAMJJASOND

Black drum feeds at night: the peak falls in the dark hours, between sunset and sunrise.

The day: daylight hours and when Black drum feeds0:0012:0024:00

Pressure is dropping 0.09 inHg over the day — fish are usually more active ahead of a weather change.

Pressure through the day, 0.09 inHg change
00:00 · 30.1123:00 · 30.01 inHg

One more input — the moon's feeding windows: within their hours the score sits higher than across the rest of the day. The window times are in the “Solunar feeding periods” card below.

Feeding windows on the day scale0:0012:0024:00

September is an active season for Black drum here.

JFMAMJJASOND

These are the same values the bite curve above was computed from. How the forecast works

Tides

  • High water01:221.3 ft
  • Low water07:00-2.6 ft
  • High water13:182.3 ft
  • Low water19:42-3.1 ft
0:006:0012:0018:0023:000:006:0012:0018:0023:00
Sea level height by hour
00:0001:0002:0003:0004:0005:0006:0007:0008:0009:0010:0011:0012:0013:0014:0015:0016:0017:0018:0019:0020:0021:0022:0023:00
0.8 ft1.2 ft1.2 ft0.6 ft-0.5 ft-1.5 ft-2.3 ft-2.6 ft-2.3 ft-1.3 ft-0.1 ft1.0 ft1.8 ft2.2 ft2.1 ft1.5 ft0.3 ft-1.1 ft-2.3 ft-3.0 ft-3.1 ft-2.6 ft-1.5 ft-0.3 ft

Open-Meteo tide model, grid point 0.8 mi away

Water

Water temp.
90 °F
In the model
81 °F
Wave
Calm

Open-Meteo Marine model, grid cell 0.8 mi from the waterbody. Values are daily means.

10 SepThursday, September 10
+91°

Partly cloudy · feels like +100°

Low / high
+75°…+96°
Precipitation
0.00 in
Wind
2 mph NE
Cloud cover
63%
Humidity
47%
Pressure
30.09 inHg
00:00+80°—5 mphnortheast wind, 5 mph79%99%
01:00+80°—5 mpheast wind, 5 mph77%100%
02:00+80°—5 mpheast wind, 5 mph77%100%
03:00+79°—5 mpheast wind, 5 mph80%78%
04:00+78°—5 mpheast wind, 5 mph84%46%
05:00+76°—4 mphnortheast wind, 4 mph87%22%
06:00+76°—4 mphnortheast wind, 4 mph88%11%
07:00+75°—4 mphnortheast wind, 4 mph88%8%
08:00+76°—4 mphnortheast wind, 4 mph85%13%
09:00+80°—4 mphnortheast wind, 4 mph76%31%
10:00+84°—4 mphnortheast wind, 4 mph64%57%
11:00+88°—4 mphnortheast wind, 4 mph54%71%
12:00+91°—2 mphnortheast wind, 2 mph47%63%
13:00+94°—0 mphnortheast wind, 0 mph43%43%
14:00+96°—1 mphsouthwest wind, 1 mph40%26%
15:00+96°—3 mphwest wind, 3 mph39%18%
16:00+94°—5 mphwest wind, 5 mph41%13%
17:00+92°—6 mphwest wind, 6 mph45%10%
18:00+89°—6 mphwest wind, 6 mph53%11%
19:00+86°—6 mphwest wind, 6 mph63%13%
20:00+83°—6 mphwest wind, 6 mph71%15%
21:00+83°—6 mphwest wind, 6 mph74%13%
22:00+83°—6 mphwest wind, 6 mph74%11%
23:00+82°—6 mphwest wind, 6 mph74%9%
+96°+86°+75°
Weather throughout the day
0:006:0012:0018:0023:00

Sun and moon

Thursday, September 10
The day: daylight and the hours the moon is above the horizon. Local time0:0012:0024:00
DaylightMoon above the horizon
Sunrise
07:16
Sunset
19:45
Day length
12 h 29 min
Sunshine hours
12 h 22 min
UV index
6
high
Moon
Waning crescent
Moonrise
06:31
Moonset
19:17

The day is 1 min shorter than yesterday.

Sunshine hours count direct sun only — cloud cover cuts it, so it is shorter than daylight.

Solunar feeding periods

+15% in the windowThursday, September 10
Feeding windows on the day scale, local time0:0012:0024:00
Major periodsMinor periods
  • Major00:00–01:34Moon underfoot
  • Minor06:01–07:01Moonrise
  • Major11:58–13:58Moon overhead
  • Minor18:47–19:47Moonset

The windows are set by the moon's transit and rise, and the forecast above already accounts for them: within these hours the bite score sits higher than across the rest of the day, while the day's overall level still comes from the catch-calibrated model.

What are solunar periods?