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United States / Florida / Mud River

Bite forecast: Mud River

  • length 2 mi
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Best fishing days for the next week

  1. ThursdaySeptember 10weather-based forecast
    32/100medium activity

    Partly cloudy: 77–90 °F

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Nearby rivers

  • Jenkins Creek1 mi
  • Weeki Wachee River2 mi

Mud River (Florida) — a popular fishing spot. About 3 km long. The town of Spring Hill is nearby. A smart bite calendar — moon phase, atmospheric pressure, and weather combined into an hourly fish-activity forecast for the coming days.

WednesdaySeptember 9weather-based forecast
30/100medium activity

Partly cloudy: 75–90 °F

  • SaturdaySeptember 5weather-based forecast
    28/100low activity

    Drizzle: 77–84 °F

  • Nearby towns

    • Spring Hill8 mi

    Bite calendar

    7–Sep 13
    Mon
    Tue
    Wed
    Thu
    Fri
    Sat
    Sun
    Bite activity:highmediumlowslow
    Based on:weatherseasonal
    What is a bite calendar?
    Black crappieStriped bassWhite crappieWhite bassLargemouth bassBlue catfishBluegillCarpChannel catfishFlathead catfishGrass carpSpotted bass

    Black crappie

    6/10 · Fair

    Hourly activity

    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00
    Bite activity:highmediumlow

    The bite is strong — fish are active. Pressure is rising — activity tends to be more subdued.

    Peak bite hours

    Best time — 07:00–09:00 (dawn bite) and 19:00–21:00 (dusk bite).

    Tactics

    Work the cover — snags, weed edges, hole entrances; retrieve the lure with pauses.

    Lures

    The water's turning murky — go with bright, noisy lures: small jig or minnow bait.

    Gear

    It's a hot day — a hat, sunglasses, and plenty of water are a must. Rain is expected — don't forget a rain jacket or a waterproof shell.

    Summary

    Worth going — it's a productive day.

    How this forecast is calculated

    Why this forecast

    The computed water temperature is around 80 °F — warmer than the 57–75 °F comfort range for Black crappie: in the heat it drops deeper and feeds less often.

    Computed water temperature by month; the green band is the 57–75 °F comfort rangecomfort 57–75 °F80 °F
    JFMAMJJASOND

    Black crappie works the twilight: the peaks are pinned to sunrise and sunset — their times are in the sun-and-moon card above.

    The day: daylight hours and when Black crappie feeds0:0012:0024:00

    Pressure is flat: it moves no more than 0.00 inHg over the day, so the weather isn't shifting today's bite.

    Pressure through the day, 0.00 inHg change
    00:00 · 30.1123:00 · 30.10 inHg

    One more input — the moon's feeding windows: within their hours the score sits higher than across the rest of the day. The window times are in the “Solunar feeding periods” card below.

    Feeding windows on the day scale0:0012:0024:00

    September is an active season for Black crappie here.

    JFMAMJJASOND

    These are the same values the bite curve above was computed from. How the forecast works

    9 SepWednesday, September 9
    +89°

    Partly cloudy · feels like +100°

    Low / high
    +74°…+89°
    Precipitation
    0.00 in
    Wind
    1 mph S
    Cloud cover
    53%
    Humidity
    56%
    Pressure
    30.16 inHg
    00:00+77°—4 mphnortheast wind, 4 mph84%46%
    01:00+77°—4 mphnortheast wind, 4 mph85%91%
    02:00+76°—4 mphnortheast wind, 4 mph87%100%
    03:00+76°—5 mphnortheast wind, 5 mph89%97%
    04:00+75°—5 mphnortheast wind, 5 mph91%100%
    05:00+75°—5 mpheast wind, 5 mph91%100%
    06:00+75°—5 mpheast wind, 5 mph92%93%
    07:00+74°—5 mpheast wind, 5 mph93%13%
    08:00+76°—5 mpheast wind, 5 mph90%22%
    09:00+79°—5 mpheast wind, 5 mph81%24%
    10:00+84°—4 mpheast wind, 4 mph68%37%
    11:00+87°—3 mpheast wind, 3 mph59%49%
    12:00+89°—1 mphsouth wind, 1 mph56%53%
    13:00+89°—6 mphsouthwest wind, 6 mph57%56%
    14:00+88°—9 mphsouthwest wind, 9 mph60%61%
    15:00+87°0.02 in8 mphsouthwest wind, 8 mph65%73%
    16:00+85°0.02 in5 mphwest wind, 5 mph71%89%
    17:00+83°0.02 in4 mphwest wind, 4 mph76%100%
    18:00+82°—3 mphwest wind, 3 mph78%100%
    19:00+82°—4 mphwest wind, 4 mph79%100%
    20:00+81°—4 mphwest wind, 4 mph79%100%
    21:00+81°—3 mphnorthwest wind, 3 mph79%100%
    22:00+81°—2 mphnorthwest wind, 2 mph78%100%
    23:00+81°—2 mphnorth wind, 2 mph78%100%
    +89°+82°+74°
    Weather throughout the day
    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00

    Sun and moon

    Wednesday, September 9
    The day: daylight and the hours the moon is above the horizon. Local time0:0012:0024:00
    DaylightMoon above the horizon
    Sunrise
    07:15
    Sunset
    19:46
    Day length
    12 h 31 min
    Sunshine hours
    9 h 36 min
    UV index
    7
    high
    Moon
    Waning crescent
    Moonrise
    05:33
    Moonset
    18:54

    The day is 2 min shorter than yesterday.

    Sunshine hours count direct sun only — cloud cover cuts it, so it is shorter than daylight.

    Solunar feeding periods

    +13% in the windowWednesday, September 9
    Feeding windows on the day scale, local time0:0012:0024:00
    Major periodsMinor periods
    • Minor05:03–06:03Moonrise
    • Major11:18–13:18Moon overhead
    • Minor18:24–19:24Moonset

    The windows are set by the moon's transit and rise, and the forecast above already accounts for them: within these hours the bite score sits higher than across the rest of the day, while the day's overall level still comes from the catch-calibrated model.

    What are solunar periods?