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United States / Florida / Bay Perico Bayou

Bite forecast: Bay Perico Bayou

  • 327 acres
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Best fishing days for the next week

  1. ThursdaySeptember 3weather-based forecast
    31/100medium activity

    Partly cloudy: 75–86 °F

  2. SaturdaySeptember 5weather-based forecast
    31/100medium activity

    Cloudy: 77–88 °F

  3. WednesdaySeptember 9weather-based forecast
    30/100medium activity

    Cloudy: 73–88 °F

Nearby towns

  • Bradenton5 mi

Bay Perico Bayou (Florida) — a spot well known among anglers. About 1.3 km² in area. The town of Bradenton is nearby. A coastal water: the bite here is modelled for the sea, not for a river or a lake. A smart bite calendar — moon phase, atmospheric pressure, and weather combined into an hourly fish-activity forecast for the coming days.

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Bite calendar

Aug 31 – Sep 6
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
Bite activity:highmediumlowslow
Based on:weatherseasonal
What is a bite calendar?
Red drumBlack drumCobiaStriped bassBluefishFlounderRed snapperSheepsheadKing mackerelMahi-mahiSnookSpanish mackerelSpotted seatroutTarpon

Black drum

6/10 · Fair

Hourly activity

0:006:0012:0018:0023:00
Bite activity:highmediumlow

The bite is moderate — fish feed in short bursts. A thunderstorm is possible: activity rises before the front and drops after.

Peak bite hours

Best time — 00:00–04:00 and 23:00–23:00 (nighttime activity).

Tactics

Look for structure — reefs, flats, channel edges; work them slowly near the bottom.

Lures

The water's turning murky — go with bright, noisy lures: soft-plastic jig or live bait.

Gear

It's a hot day — a hat, sunglasses, and plenty of water are a must. A thunderstorm is possible — bring a rain jacket, and pack up at the first rumble of thunder.

Summary

An average day — best chances during peak windows.

How this forecast is calculated

Why this forecast

The computed water temperature is around 81 °F — warmer than the 61–79 °F comfort range for Black drum: in the heat it drops deeper and feeds less often.

Computed water temperature by month; the green band is the 61–79 °F comfort rangecomfort 61–79 °F81 °F
JFMAMJJASOND

Black drum feeds at night: the peak falls in the dark hours, between sunset and sunrise.

The day: daylight hours and when Black drum feeds0:0012:0024:00

Pressure is dropping 0.06 inHg over the day — fish are usually more active ahead of a weather change.

Pressure through the day, 0.06 inHg change
00:00 · 29.9323:00 · 29.88 inHg

One more input — the moon's feeding windows: within their hours the score sits higher than across the rest of the day. The window times are in the “Solunar feeding periods” card below.

Feeding windows on the day scale0:0012:0024:00

September is an active season for Black drum here.

JFMAMJJASOND

These are the same values the bite curve above was computed from. How the forecast works

Tides

  • High water05:000.7 ft
  • Low water14:00-1.8 ft
0:006:0012:0018:0023:000:006:0012:0018:0023:00
Sea level height by hour
00:0001:0002:0003:0004:0005:0006:0007:0008:0009:0010:0011:0012:0013:0014:0015:0016:0017:0018:0019:0020:0021:0022:0023:00
-0.2 ft-0.0 ft0.2 ft0.4 ft0.6 ft0.7 ft0.6 ft0.4 ft0.1 ft-0.3 ft-0.8 ft-1.1 ft-1.5 ft-1.7 ft-1.8 ft-1.7 ft-1.5 ft-1.2 ft-1.0 ft-0.7 ft-0.5 ft-0.4 ft-0.4 ft-0.4 ft

Open-Meteo tide model, grid point 3.7 mi away

Water

Water temp.
89 °F
In the model
81 °F
Wave
0.4 ft
Period
3 s

Open-Meteo Marine model, grid cell 3.7 mi from the waterbody. Values are daily means.

5 SepSaturday, September 5
+86°

Cloudy · feels like +94°

Low / high
+78°…+87°
Precipitation
0.00 in
Wind
8 mph SSW
Cloud cover
100%
Humidity
67%
Pressure
29.96 inHg
00:00+79°0.02 in3 mphsouthwest wind, 3 mph88%100%
01:00+79°0.04 in4 mphsouthwest wind, 4 mph89%100%
02:00+79°0.03 in4 mphsouthwest wind, 4 mph88%100%
03:00+79°0.00 in5 mphsouthwest wind, 5 mph89%100%
04:00+79°0.00 in5 mphsouthwest wind, 5 mph88%100%
05:00+79°0.00 in5 mphsouthwest wind, 5 mph89%100%
06:00+78°0.01 in5 mphsouthwest wind, 5 mph89%100%
07:00+78°0.05 in5 mphsouthwest wind, 5 mph90%100%
08:00+78°0.05 in4 mphsouthwest wind, 4 mph88%100%
09:00+81°0.04 in4 mphsouthwest wind, 4 mph85%100%
10:00+82°0.03 in6 mphsouthwest wind, 6 mph83%100%
11:00+84°0.00 in7 mphsouthwest wind, 7 mph76%100%
12:00+86°—8 mphsouthwest wind, 8 mph67%100%
13:00+87°—9 mphsouthwest wind, 9 mph65%100%
14:00+87°—10 mphsouthwest wind, 10 mph65%100%
15:00+87°—9 mphsouthwest wind, 9 mph64%100%
16:00+87°—9 mphsouthwest wind, 9 mph65%100%
17:00+85°0.01 in8 mphsouthwest wind, 8 mph71%100%
18:00+85°—8 mphsouthwest wind, 8 mph70%100%
19:00+84°—8 mphsouthwest wind, 8 mph73%100%
20:00+82°—7 mphsouthwest wind, 7 mph77%100%
21:00+82°—8 mphsouthwest wind, 8 mph78%100%
22:00+82°—9 mphsouthwest wind, 9 mph79%100%
23:00+83°—10 mphsouthwest wind, 10 mph79%100%
+87°+82°+78°
Weather throughout the day
0:006:0012:0018:0023:00

Sun and moon

Saturday, September 5
The day: daylight and the hours the moon is above the horizon. Local time0:0012:0024:00
DaylightMoon above the horizon
Sunrise
07:13
Sunset
19:51
Day length
12 h 38 min
Sunshine hours
12 h 10 min
UV index
6
high
Moon
Waning crescent
Moonrise
01:03
Moonset
15:50

The day is 2 min shorter than yesterday.

Sunshine hours count direct sun only — cloud cover cuts it, so it is shorter than daylight.

Solunar feeding periods

+16% in the windowSaturday, September 5
Feeding windows on the day scale, local time0:0012:0024:00
Major periodsMinor periods
  • Minor00:33–01:33Moonrise
  • Major07:27–09:27Moon overhead
  • Minor15:20–16:20Moonset
  • Major19:59–21:59Moon underfoot

The windows are set by the moon's transit and rise, and the forecast above already accounts for them: within these hours the bite score sits higher than across the rest of the day, while the day's overall level still comes from the catch-calibrated model.

What are solunar periods?

Nearby rivers

  • Longboat Pass4 mi

Nearby water bodies

  • BayPalma Sola Bay1 mi
  • BayWarner Bayou West3 mi
  • BayWarner Bayou East3 mi
  • PondLake Flores4 mi
  • BayMcLewis Bayou4 mi
  • LakeBig Glenn Lake5 mi
  • BayWares Creek6 mi
  • LakeFlounder Pass6 mi