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  • Forecast
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© 2026·AI-powered bite forecast
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United States / Minnesota / Shell Lake

Bite forecast: Shell Lake

  • 520 acres
Loading map…

Best fishing days for the next week

  1. ThursdaySeptember 10weather-based forecast
    81/100high activity

    Cloudy: 54–77 °F

  2. MondaySeptember 7weather-based forecast
    67/100high activity

    Drizzle: 64–77 °F

  3. SundaySeptember 6weather-based forecast
    61/100high activity

    Drizzle: 63–84 °F

Shell Lake (Minnesota) — a popular fishing spot. About 2.1 km² in area. This page shows an hourly bite forecast for today and the week ahead; the algorithm factors in the weather, atmospheric pressure, and the moon phase.

Nearby rivers

  • Woksapiwi Creek2 mi
  • Shohola Creek2 mi
  • Heritage Creek3 mi
  • Manes Nord Creek3 mi

Nearby water bodies

  • LakeLittle Shell Lake0.8 mi
  • LakeLynx Lake1 mi
  • LakeDogfish Lake1 mi
  • LakeAgawato Lake1 mi
  • LakeLower Pauness Lake2 mi
  • LakeHeritage Lake2 mi
  • LakeUpper Pauness Lake2 mi
  • LakeWarpaint Lake2 mi
  • LakeShohola Lake2 mi
  • LakeWoksapiwi Lake2 mi
Loading map…

Bite calendar

7–Sep 13
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
Bite activity:highmediumlowslow
Based on:weatherseasonal
What is a bite calendar?
Brook troutCoho salmonMuskellungePikeSmallmouth bassWalleyeWhite bassYellow perchLargemouth bassWhitefishBluegillCarpChannel catfishFlathead catfishSteelheadBlack crappieRainbow troutWhite crappieChinook salmonLake troutBurbot

Black crappie

7/10 · Good

Hourly activity

0:006:0012:0018:0023:00
Bite activity:highmediumlow

The bite is strong — fish are active. Pressure is rising — activity tends to be more subdued.

Peak bite hours

Best time — 06:00–08:00 (dawn bite) and 20:00–21:00 (dusk bite).

Tactics

Look for drop-offs and gaps in the weeds, retrieve slowly, lingering over promising spots.

Lures

The water's turning murky — go with bright, noisy lures: small jig or minnow bait.

Gear

Pack transitional-season clothing — mornings and evenings are chilly. Rain is expected — don't forget a rain jacket or a waterproof shell.

Summary

Worth going — it's a productive day.

How this forecast is calculated

Why this forecast

The computed water temperature is around 65 °F — inside the 57–75 °F comfort range for Black crappie, so baseline activity is high.

Computed water temperature by month; the green band is the 57–75 °F comfort rangecomfort 57–75 °F65 °F
JFMAMJJASOND

Black crappie works the twilight: the peaks are pinned to sunrise and sunset — their times are in the sun-and-moon card above.

The day: daylight hours and when Black crappie feeds0:0012:0024:00

Pressure is dropping 0.09 inHg over the day — fish are usually more active ahead of a weather change.

Pressure through the day, 0.09 inHg change
00:00 · 29.9823:00 · 29.91 inHg

One more input — the moon's feeding windows: within their hours the score sits higher than across the rest of the day. The window times are in the “Solunar feeding periods” card below.

Feeding windows on the day scale0:0012:0024:00

September is an active season for Black crappie here.

JFMAMJJASOND

These are the same values the bite curve above was computed from. How the forecast works

10 SepThursday, September 10
+74°

Cloudy · feels like +71°

Low / high
+53°…+77°
Precipitation
0.00 in
Wind
4 mph E
Cloud cover
97%
Humidity
36%
Pressure
29.99 inHg
00:00+59°—6 mphnorth wind, 6 mph63%74%
01:00+58°—5 mphnortheast wind, 5 mph67%73%
02:00+56°—4 mphnortheast wind, 4 mph71%63%
03:00+56°—5 mpheast wind, 5 mph74%49%
04:00+55°—5 mpheast wind, 5 mph76%44%
05:00+54°—6 mpheast wind, 6 mph78%59%
06:00+53°—6 mpheast wind, 6 mph80%83%
07:00+54°—6 mpheast wind, 6 mph78%100%
08:00+57°—6 mpheast wind, 6 mph70%100%
09:00+62°—6 mpheast wind, 6 mph58%95%
10:00+67°—6 mpheast wind, 6 mph48%91%
11:00+71°—5 mpheast wind, 5 mph41%93%
12:00+74°—4 mpheast wind, 4 mph36%97%
13:00+76°—3 mpheast wind, 3 mph32%100%
14:00+77°—6 mphsoutheast wind, 6 mph29%100%
15:00+77°—11 mphsoutheast wind, 11 mph29%100%
16:00+75°—14 mphsoutheast wind, 14 mph33%100%
17:00+72°0.00 in13 mphsoutheast wind, 13 mph46%100%
18:00+67°0.00 in11 mphsoutheast wind, 11 mph64%100%
19:00+63°0.00 in8 mphsoutheast wind, 8 mph79%100%
20:00+62°—7 mphsoutheast wind, 7 mph88%100%
21:00+61°—7 mpheast wind, 7 mph93%100%
22:00+60°—9 mpheast wind, 9 mph96%100%
23:00+60°—10 mpheast wind, 10 mph96%92%
+77°+65°+53°
Weather throughout the day
0:006:0012:0018:0023:00

Sun and moon

Thursday, September 10
The day: daylight and the hours the moon is above the horizon. Local time0:0012:0024:00
DaylightMoon above the horizon
Sunrise
06:55
Sunset
19:45
Day length
12 h 50 min
Sunshine hours
7 h 10 min
UV index
3
moderate
Moon
Waning crescent
Moonrise
05:58
Moonset
19:12

The day is 3 min shorter than yesterday.

Sunshine hours count direct sun only — cloud cover cuts it, so it is shorter than daylight.

Solunar feeding periods

+14% in the windowThursday, September 10
Feeding windows on the day scale, local time0:0012:0024:00
Major periodsMinor periods
  • Major00:00–01:20Moon underfoot
  • Minor05:28–06:28Moonrise
  • Major11:43–13:43Moon overhead
  • Minor18:42–19:42Moonset

The windows are set by the moon's transit and rise, and the forecast above already accounts for them: within these hours the bite score sits higher than across the rest of the day, while the day's overall level still comes from the catch-calibrated model.

What are solunar periods?