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Where to fish

  • Forecast
  • Catches

Mine

  • Favorites
Forecast
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© 2026·AI-powered bite forecast
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United States / New Jersey / Lower New York Bay

Bite forecast: Lower New York Bay

  • 114.4 sq mi
Loading map…

Best fishing days for the next week

  1. TuesdaySeptember 8weather-based forecast
    65/100high activity

    Cloudy: 64–82 °F

Lower New York Bay (New Jersey) — one of the area's fishing spots. About 296.3 km² in area. Close by — Long Branch, Jersey City and New Brunswick. Salt water, not fresh — so this page carries its own marine bite forecast. Here you'll find a bite prediction — when fish are active and which hours give the best chances, adjusted for weather and pressure.

ThursdaySeptember 3weather-based forecast
59/100medium activity

Cloudy: 70–88 °F

  • MondaySeptember 7weather-based forecast
    57/100medium activity

    Clear: 61–81 °F

  • Nearby towns

    • Long Branch7 mi
    • Jersey City8 mi
    • New Brunswick8 mi

    Nearby rivers

    • Thornes Creek3 mi
    • East Creek4 mi
    • Waackaack Creek4 mi
    • Lemon Creek4 mi
    • Flat Creek4 mi
    • Chingarora Creek5 mi
    • Compton Creek5 mi
    • Compton Creek Tributary5 mi
    • Lupattatong Creek6 mi

    Nearby water bodies

    • BayLower New York Bay0 mi
    • LakeArbutus Lake3 mi
    • BayGreat Kills Harbor4 mi
    • BayGreat Kills Harbor4 mi
    • PondWolfe's Pond4 mi
    • LakeNatco Lake4 mi
    • LakeNatco Lake4 mi
    • PondMount Loretto Pond5 mi
    • PondCunningham Pond5 mi
    • PondIslington Pond5 mi
    Loading map…

    Catches

    Recorded 5 catches here. Most commonly caught: Striped bass, Flounder. Peak season: year-round.

    • Striped bass — Raritan River, Apr 21, 2019
      Striped bass
      Raritan River
      64 °F9 mph
      Apr 21, 2019
    • Flounder — Lower New York Bay, Jun 02, 2018
      Flounder
      Lower New York Bay
      79 °F2 mph
      Jun 02, 2018
    • Striped bass — Lower New York Bay, Apr 25, 2018
      Striped bass
      Lower New York Bay
      54 °F11 mph
      Apr 25, 2018
    • Striped bass
      Shrewsbury River
      37 °F7 mph
      Nov 23, 2017
    • Striped bass
      New Jersey, Monmouth County
      23 °F7 mph
      Jan 01, 1970

    Bite calendar

    Wednesday, September 2

    Aug 31 – Sep 6
    Mon
    Tue
    Wed
    Thu
    Fri
    Sat
    Sun
    Bite activity:highmediumlowslow
    Based on:weatherseasonal
    What is a bite calendar?
    Black drumFlounderStriped bassBluefishSpanish mackerel

    Black drum

    6/10 · Fair

    Hourly activity

    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00
    Bite activity:highmediumlow

    The bite is moderate — fish feed in short bursts. Pressure is dropping — this usually boosts the bite.

    Peak bite hours

    Best time — 00:00–04:00 (nighttime activity).

    Tactics

    Look for structure — reefs, flats, channel edges; work them slowly near the bottom.

    Lures

    In clear water, natural colors work best: soft-plastic jig or live bait.

    Gear

    No special gear needed — seasonal clothing will do.

    Summary

    An average day — best chances during peak windows.

    How this forecast is calculated

    Why this forecast

    The computed water temperature is around 74 °F — inside the 61–79 °F comfort range for Black drum, so baseline activity is high.

    Computed water temperature by month; the green band is the 61–79 °F comfort rangecomfort 61–79 °F74 °F
    JFMAMJJASOND

    Black drum feeds at night: the peak falls in the dark hours, between sunset and sunrise.

    The day: daylight hours and when Black drum feeds0:0012:0024:00

    Pressure is rising 0.06 inHg over the day — the bite usually settles down after a rise.

    Pressure through the day, 0.06 inHg change
    00:00 · 30.0123:00 · 30.06 inHg

    One more input — the moon's feeding windows: within their hours the score sits higher than across the rest of the day. The window times are in the “Solunar feeding periods” card below.

    Feeding windows on the day scale0:0012:0024:00

    September is an active season for Black drum here.

    JFMAMJJASOND

    These are the same values the bite curve above was computed from. How the forecast works

    Tides

    • Low water04:44-3.6 ft
    • High water11:181.2 ft
    • Low water17:22-3.1 ft
    0:006:0012:0018:0023:000:006:0012:0018:0023:00
    Sea level height by hour
    00:0001:0002:0003:0004:0005:0006:0007:0008:0009:0010:0011:0012:0013:0014:0015:0016:0017:0018:0019:0020:0021:0022:0023:00
    0.2 ft-0.8 ft-1.8 ft-2.7 ft-3.4 ft-3.6 ft-3.1 ft-2.0 ft-0.9 ft0.0 ft0.8 ft1.1 ft1.0 ft0.3 ft-0.8 ft-1.9 ft-2.7 ft-3.1 ft-3.0 ft-2.4 ft-1.4 ft-0.6 ft-0.0 ft0.4 ft

    Open-Meteo tide model, grid point 5.3 mi away

    Water

    Water temp.
    80 °F
    In the model
    74 °F
    Wave
    1.9 ft
    Period
    5 s

    Open-Meteo Marine model, grid cell 5.3 mi from the waterbody. Values are daily means.

    2 SepWednesday, September 2
    +73°

    Cloudy · feels like +77°

    Low / high
    +70°…+74°
    Precipitation
    0.00 in
    Wind
    7 mph E
    Cloud cover
    100%
    Humidity
    88%
    Pressure
    30.12 inHg
    00:00+74°—5 mphnortheast wind, 5 mph94%41%
    01:00+74°—5 mphnortheast wind, 5 mph95%14%
    02:00+74°—6 mpheast wind, 6 mph94%100%
    03:00+73°—7 mpheast wind, 7 mph95%100%
    04:00+72°—7 mphnortheast wind, 7 mph95%100%
    05:00+71°—7 mphnortheast wind, 7 mph95%100%
    06:00+71°—7 mphnortheast wind, 7 mph95%100%
    07:00+70°—7 mphnortheast wind, 7 mph95%100%
    08:00+70°—7 mphnortheast wind, 7 mph94%100%
    09:00+70°—7 mphnortheast wind, 7 mph93%100%
    10:00+71°—7 mpheast wind, 7 mph90%100%
    11:00+72°—6 mpheast wind, 6 mph89%100%
    12:00+73°—7 mpheast wind, 7 mph88%100%
    13:00+73°—7 mpheast wind, 7 mph85%100%
    14:00+73°—6 mpheast wind, 6 mph86%100%
    15:00+73°—6 mphsoutheast wind, 6 mph84%100%
    16:00+73°—10 mphsoutheast wind, 10 mph84%100%
    17:00+73°—7 mpheast wind, 7 mph83%100%
    18:00+73°—6 mpheast wind, 6 mph87%100%
    19:00+71°—6 mpheast wind, 6 mph89%100%
    20:00+71°—5 mpheast wind, 5 mph90%100%
    21:00+71°—5 mpheast wind, 5 mph92%100%
    22:00+71°—4 mpheast wind, 4 mph91%100%
    23:00+71°—4 mphsoutheast wind, 4 mph91%100%
    +74°+72°+70°
    Weather throughout the day
    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00

    Sun and moon

    Wednesday, September 2
    The day: daylight and the hours the moon is above the horizon. Local time0:0012:0024:00
    DaylightMoon above the horizon
    Sunrise
    06:27
    Sunset
    19:29
    Day length
    13 h 2 min
    Sunshine hours
    0 min
    UV index
    2
    low
    Moon
    Waning gibbous
    Moonrise
    22:02
    Moonset
    12:27

    The day is 3 min shorter than yesterday.

    Sunshine hours count direct sun only — cloud cover cuts it, so it is shorter than daylight.

    Solunar feeding periods

    +9% in the windowWednesday, September 2
    Feeding windows on the day scale, local time0:0012:0024:00
    Major periodsMinor periods
    • Major03:50–05:50Moon overhead
    • Minor11:57–12:57Moonset
    • Major16:18–18:18Moon underfoot
    • Minor21:32–22:32Moonrise

    The windows are set by the moon's transit and rise, and the forecast above already accounts for them: within these hours the bite score sits higher than across the rest of the day, while the day's overall level still comes from the catch-calibrated model.

    What are solunar periods?

    BiteGuide·From anglers’ reports

    What actually worked on this water

    Based on 5 verified catchesPeriod: 1970–2019

    This is a summary of anglers' reports, not a proven cause of the bite: conditions lining up does not mean they drove it.

    By fish species

    vertical axis — number of catches

    024
    41
    Striped bassFlounder
    By fish species
    ValueCatchesShare
    Striped bass480%
    Flounder120%

    By month

    vertical axis — number of catches

    012
    1211
    JanAprJunNov
    By month
    ValueCatchesShare
    Jan120%
    Apr240%
    Jun120%
    Nov120%

    Air temperature, °F

    vertical axis — number of catches

    01
    11111
    2332505977
    Air temperature, °F
    ValueCatchesShare
    23–30 °F120%
    32–39 °F120%
    50–57 °F120%
    59–66 °F120%
    77–84 °F120%

    Pressure, inHg

    vertical axis — number of catches

    012
    221
    29.7229.9230.12
    Pressure, inHg
    ValueCatchesShare
    29.72–29.88 inHg240%
    29.92–30.08 inHg240%
    30.12–30.28 inHg120%

    Wind direction

    vertical axis — number of catches

    012
    221
    NENW
    Wind direction
    ValueCatchesShare
    N240%
    E240%
    NW120%

    Wind speed, mph

    vertical axis — number of catches

    012
    122
    049
    Wind speed, mph
    ValueCatchesShare
    0–2 mph120%
    4–7 mph240%
    9–11 mph240%