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Where to fish

  • Forecast
  • Catches

Mine

  • Favorites
ForecastCatchesFavorites
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© 2026·AI-powered bite forecast
0.1.0+2163 · 92c14a40

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United States / New York / Lower New York Bay

Bite forecast: Lower New York Bay

  • 114.4 sq mi
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Best fishing days for the next week

  1. TuesdaySeptember 8weather-based forecast
    78/100high activity

    Cloudy: 52–73 °F

Lower New York Bay (New York) — a spot well known among anglers. About 296.3 km² in area. Nearest town — New York. A coastal water: the bite here is modelled for the sea, not for a river or a lake. See when the bite is best: hourly fish activity for the days ahead, computed from the weather, pressure, and season.

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Catches

Recorded 5 catches here. Most commonly caught: Striped bass, Flounder. Peak season: year-round.

  • Striped bass — Raritan River, Apr 21, 2019
    Striped bass
    Raritan River
    64 °F9 mph
    Apr 21, 2019
  • Flounder — Lower New York Bay, Jun 02, 2018
    Flounder
    Lower New York Bay
    79 °F2 mph
    Jun 02, 2018
  • Striped bass — Lower New York Bay, Apr 25, 2018
    Striped bass
    Lower New York Bay
    54 °F11 mph
    Apr 25, 2018
  • Striped bass
    Shrewsbury River
    37 °F7 mph
    Nov 23, 2017
  • Striped bass
    New Jersey, Monmouth County
    23 °F7 mph
    Jan 01, 1970
WednesdaySeptember 9weather-based forecast
72/100high activity

Drizzle: 59–79 °F

  • ThursdaySeptember 3weather-based forecast
    65/100high activity

    Partly cloudy: 64–77 °F

  • Nearby towns

    • New York8 mi

    Bite calendar

    Thursday, September 3

    Aug 31 – Sep 6
    Mon
    Tue
    Wed
    Thu
    Fri
    Sat
    Sun
    Bite activity:highmediumlowslow
    Based on:weatherseasonal
    What is a bite calendar?
    BluefishCoho salmonFlounderStriped bassSteelheadChinook salmon

    Bluefish

    8/10 · Good

    Hourly activity

    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00
    Bite activity:highmediumlow

    The bite is strong — fish are active. A thunderstorm is possible: activity rises before the front and drops after.

    Peak bite hours

    Best time — 06:00–08:00 (dawn bite) and 19:00–21:00 (dusk bite).

    Tactics

    Look for structure — reefs, flats, channel edges; work them slowly near the bottom.

    Lures

    The water's turning murky — go with bright, noisy lures: trolling spoon or live bait.

    Gear

    It's a hot day — a hat, sunglasses, and plenty of water are a must. A thunderstorm is possible — bring a rain jacket, and pack up at the first rumble of thunder.

    Summary

    Worth going — it's a productive day.

    How this forecast is calculated

    Why this forecast

    The computed water temperature is around 67 °F — inside the 57–75 °F comfort range for Bluefish, so baseline activity is high.

    Computed water temperature by month; the green band is the 57–75 °F comfort rangecomfort 57–75 °F67 °F
    JFMAMJJASOND

    Bluefish works the twilight: the peaks are pinned to sunrise and sunset — their times are in the sun-and-moon card above.

    The day: daylight hours and when Bluefish feeds0:0012:0024:00

    Pressure is dropping 0.09 inHg over the day — fish are usually more active ahead of a weather change.

    Pressure through the day, 0.09 inHg change
    00:00 · 29.9823:00 · 29.88 inHg

    One more input — the moon's feeding windows: within their hours the score sits higher than across the rest of the day. The window times are in the “Solunar feeding periods” card below.

    Feeding windows on the day scale0:0012:0024:00

    September is peak season for Bluefish here.

    JFMAMJJASOND

    These are the same values the bite curve above was computed from. How the forecast works

    Tides

    • Low water05:41-3.4 ft
    • High water12:261.1 ft
    • Low water18:33-3.3 ft
    0:006:0012:0018:0023:000:006:0012:0018:0023:00
    Sea level height by hour
    00:0001:0002:0003:0004:0005:0006:0007:0008:0009:0010:0011:0012:0013:0014:0015:0016:0017:0018:0019:0020:0021:0022:0023:00
    0.7 ft0.2 ft-0.9 ft-1.9 ft-2.7 ft-3.2 ft-3.4 ft-2.8 ft-1.8 ft-0.7 ft0.0 ft0.6 ft1.1 ft1.0 ft0.3 ft-0.8 ft-1.8 ft-2.7 ft-3.2 ft-3.3 ft-2.7 ft-1.8 ft-1.1 ft-0.5 ft

    Open-Meteo tide model, grid point 5.3 mi away

    Water

    Water temp.
    79 °F
    In the model
    67 °F
    Wave
    1.4 ft
    Period
    6 s

    Open-Meteo Marine model, grid cell 5.3 mi from the waterbody. Values are daily means.

    3 SepThursday, September 3
    +74°

    Partly cloudy · feels like +78°

    Low / high
    +64°…+77°
    Precipitation
    0.00 in
    Wind
    11 mph WSW
    Cloud cover
    37%
    Humidity
    82%
    Pressure
    29.90 inHg
    00:00+64°0.06 in12 mphsouth wind, 12 mph87%98%
    01:00+64°0.43 in15 mphsouthwest wind, 15 mph89%77%
    02:00+64°0.11 in9 mphsouth wind, 9 mph89%100%
    03:00+64°0.34 in11 mphsouth wind, 11 mph90%100%
    04:00+64°—13 mphsouth wind, 13 mph87%100%
    05:00+65°0.03 in18 mphsouthwest wind, 18 mph85%100%
    06:00+65°—8 mphsouth wind, 8 mph88%100%
    07:00+64°—2 mphsouth wind, 2 mph89%100%
    08:00+67°—15 mphsouthwest wind, 15 mph87%100%
    09:00+68°—15 mphsouthwest wind, 15 mph88%97%
    10:00+69°—14 mphsouthwest wind, 14 mph87%100%
    11:00+72°—13 mphsouthwest wind, 13 mph85%20%
    12:00+74°—11 mphwest wind, 11 mph82%37%
    13:00+75°—12 mphwest wind, 12 mph77%31%
    14:00+76°—11 mphwest wind, 11 mph72%18%
    15:00+77°—11 mphwest wind, 11 mph69%28%
    16:00+77°—11 mphwest wind, 11 mph64%3%
    17:00+76°—9 mphnorthwest wind, 9 mph61%0%
    18:00+74°—6 mphnorthwest wind, 6 mph65%0%
    19:00+71°—3 mphwest wind, 3 mph73%100%
    20:00+69°—4 mphwest wind, 4 mph73%100%
    21:00+68°—3 mphwest wind, 3 mph67%100%
    22:00+67°—5 mphsouthwest wind, 5 mph65%89%
    23:00+66°—3 mphnorthwest wind, 3 mph73%72%
    +77°+70°+64°
    Weather throughout the day
    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00

    Sun and moon

    Thursday, September 3
    The day: daylight and the hours the moon is above the horizon. Local time0:0012:0024:00
    DaylightMoon above the horizon
    Sunrise
    06:25
    Sunset
    19:29
    Day length
    13 h 4 min
    Sunshine hours
    9 h 1 min
    UV index
    6
    high
    Moon
    Last quarter
    Moonrise
    22:47
    Moonset
    13:41

    The day is 3 min shorter than yesterday.

    Sunshine hours count direct sun only — cloud cover cuts it, so it is shorter than daylight.

    Solunar feeding periods

    +11% in the windowThursday, September 3
    Feeding windows on the day scale, local time0:0012:0024:00
    Major periodsMinor periods
    • Major04:47–06:47Moon overhead
    • Minor13:11–14:11Moonset
    • Major17:16–19:16Moon underfoot
    • Minor22:17–23:17Moonrise

    The windows are set by the moon's transit and rise, and the forecast above already accounts for them: within these hours the bite score sits higher than across the rest of the day, while the day's overall level still comes from the catch-calibrated model.

    What are solunar periods?

    BiteGuide·From anglers’ reports

    What actually worked on this water

    Based on 5 verified catchesPeriod: 1970–2019

    This is a summary of anglers' reports, not a proven cause of the bite: conditions lining up does not mean they drove it.

    By fish species

    vertical axis — number of catches

    024
    41
    Striped bassFlounder
    By fish species
    ValueCatchesShare
    Striped bass480%
    Flounder120%

    By month

    vertical axis — number of catches

    012
    1211
    JanAprJunNov
    By month
    ValueCatchesShare
    Jan120%
    Apr240%
    Jun120%
    Nov120%

    Air temperature, °F

    vertical axis — number of catches

    01
    11111
    2332505977
    Air temperature, °F
    ValueCatchesShare
    23–30 °F120%
    32–39 °F120%
    50–57 °F120%
    59–66 °F120%
    77–84 °F120%

    Pressure, inHg

    vertical axis — number of catches

    012
    221
    29.7229.9230.12
    Pressure, inHg
    ValueCatchesShare
    29.72–29.88 inHg240%
    29.92–30.08 inHg240%
    30.12–30.28 inHg120%

    Wind direction

    vertical axis — number of catches

    012
    221
    NENW
    Wind direction
    ValueCatchesShare
    N240%
    E240%
    NW120%

    Wind speed, mph

    vertical axis — number of catches

    012
    122
    049
    Wind speed, mph
    ValueCatchesShare
    0–2 mph120%
    4–7 mph240%
    9–11 mph240%

    Nearby rivers

    • Thornes Creek3 mi
    • East Creek4 mi
    • Waackaack Creek4 mi
    • Lemon Creek4 mi
    • Flat Creek4 mi
    • Chingarora Creek5 mi
    • Compton Creek5 mi
    • Compton Creek Tributary5 mi
    • Lupattatong Creek6 mi

    Nearby water bodies

    • BayLower New York Bay0 mi
    • LakeArbutus Lake3 mi
    • BayGreat Kills Harbor4 mi
    • BayGreat Kills Harbor4 mi
    • PondWolfe's Pond4 mi
    • LakeNatco Lake4 mi
    • LakeNatco Lake4 mi
    • PondMount Loretto Pond5 mi
    • PondCunningham Pond5 mi
    • PondIslington Pond5 mi