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United States / New Mexico / Reservoir Elephant Butte Lake

Bite forecast: Reservoir Elephant Butte Lake

  • 16.7 sq mi
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Best fishing days for the next week

  1. SaturdaySeptember 5weather-based forecast
    74/100high activity

    Clear: 54–72 °F

  2. MondaySeptember 7weather-based forecast
    68/100high activity

    Drizzle: 54–70 °F

  3. SundaySeptember 6weather-based forecast
    67/100high activity

    Clear: 54–72 °F

Reservoir Elephant Butte Lake (New Mexico) — one of the area's fishing spots. About 43.2 km² in area. A smart bite calendar — moon phase, atmospheric pressure, and weather combined into an hourly fish-activity forecast for the coming days.

Loading map…

Bite calendar

7–Sep 13
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
Bite activity:highmediumlowslow
Based on:weatherseasonal
What is a bite calendar?
Brook troutCutthroat troutLargemouth bassSmallmouth bassWalleyeWhite bassCarpStriped bassBlue catfishBluegillBrown troutChannel catfishRainbow troutSpotted bassWhite crappieBlack crappieFlathead catfish

Black crappie

5/10 · Fair

Hourly activity

0:006:0012:0018:0023:00
Bite activity:highmediumlow

The bite is moderate — fish feed in short bursts. A thunderstorm is possible: activity rises before the front and drops after.

Peak bite hours

Best time — 06:00–08:00 (dawn bite).

Tactics

Look for drop-offs and gaps in the weeds, retrieve slowly, lingering over promising spots.

Lures

The water's turning murky — go with bright, noisy lures: small jig or minnow bait.

Gear

No special gear needed — seasonal clothing will do. A thunderstorm is possible — bring a rain jacket, and pack up at the first rumble of thunder.

Summary

An average day — best chances during peak windows.

How this forecast is calculated

Why this forecast

The computed water temperature is around 58 °F — inside the 57–75 °F comfort range for Black crappie, so baseline activity is high.

Computed water temperature by month; the green band is the 57–75 °F comfort rangecomfort 57–75 °F58 °F
JFMAMJJASOND

Black crappie works the twilight: the peaks are pinned to sunrise and sunset — their times are in the sun-and-moon card above.

The day: daylight hours and when Black crappie feeds0:0012:0024:00

Pressure is flat: it moves no more than 0.03 inHg over the day, so the weather isn't shifting today's bite.

Pressure through the day, 0.03 inHg change
00:00 · 29.7123:00 · 29.74 inHg

One more input — the moon's feeding windows: within their hours the score sits higher than across the rest of the day. The window times are in the “Solunar feeding periods” card below.

Feeding windows on the day scale0:0012:0024:00

September is an active season for Black crappie here.

JFMAMJJASOND

These are the same values the bite curve above was computed from. How the forecast works

7 SepMonday, September 7
+66°

Drizzle · feels like +65°

Low / high
+54°…+69°
Precipitation
0.02 in
Wind
2 mph S
Cloud cover
97%
Humidity
55%
Pressure
29.67 inHg
00:00+55°—4 mphsouth wind, 4 mph77%100%
01:00+55°—5 mphsouth wind, 5 mph76%100%
02:00+56°—6 mphsouthwest wind, 6 mph73%43%
03:00+56°—6 mphsouthwest wind, 6 mph72%100%
04:00+57°—6 mphsouthwest wind, 6 mph72%100%
05:00+57°—6 mphsouthwest wind, 6 mph72%100%
06:00+55°—5 mphsouthwest wind, 5 mph75%19%
07:00+56°—5 mphsouthwest wind, 5 mph74%37%
08:00+57°—4 mphsouthwest wind, 4 mph72%73%
09:00+59°—4 mphsouthwest wind, 4 mph69%100%
10:00+61°0.02 in3 mphsouth wind, 3 mph65%100%
11:00+64°0.02 in3 mphsouth wind, 3 mph59%100%
12:00+66°0.02 in2 mphsouth wind, 2 mph55%97%
13:00+68°0.02 in2 mphsouth wind, 2 mph51%80%
14:00+69°0.02 in2 mphsoutheast wind, 2 mph47%58%
15:00+69°0.02 in3 mphsoutheast wind, 3 mph49%47%
16:00+64°0.13 in4 mphsouth wind, 4 mph62%59%
17:00+58°0.13 in6 mphsouth wind, 6 mph81%82%
18:00+54°0.13 in7 mphsouth wind, 7 mph92%100%
19:00+54°0.26 in7 mphsouth wind, 7 mph88%100%
20:00+56°0.26 in7 mphsouth wind, 7 mph77%100%
21:00+57°0.26 in6 mphsouth wind, 6 mph69%100%
22:00+57°—6 mphsoutheast wind, 6 mph68%95%
23:00+56°—4 mphsoutheast wind, 4 mph69%88%
+69°+62°+54°
Weather throughout the day
0:006:0012:0018:0023:00

Sun and moon

Monday, September 7
The day: daylight and the hours the moon is above the horizon. Local time0:0012:0024:00
DaylightMoon above the horizon
Sunrise
06:41
Sunset
19:20
Day length
12 h 39 min
Sunshine hours
8 h 16 min
UV index
5
moderate
Moon
Waning crescent
Moonrise
02:46
Moonset
17:25

The day is 2 min shorter than yesterday.

Sunshine hours count direct sun only — cloud cover cuts it, so it is shorter than daylight.

Solunar feeding periods

+11% in the windowMonday, September 7
Feeding windows on the day scale, local time0:0012:0024:00
Major periodsMinor periods
  • Minor02:16–03:16Moonrise
  • Major09:10–11:10Moon overhead
  • Minor16:55–17:55Moonset
  • Major21:38–23:38Moon underfoot

The windows are set by the moon's transit and rise, and the forecast above already accounts for them: within these hours the bite score sits higher than across the rest of the day, while the day's overall level still comes from the catch-calibrated model.

What are solunar periods?

Catches

Recorded 3 catches here. Most commonly caught: Largemouth bass. Peak season: April–June.

  • Largemouth bass
    Elephant Butte Lake
    84 °F7 mph
    Jun 24, 2019
  • Largemouth bass
    Elephant Butte Lake
    81 °F13 mph
    Apr 20, 2019
  • Largemouth bass
    Elephant Butte Lake
    70 °F9 mph
    Apr 25, 2018

Nearby water bodies

  • LakeMims Lake5 mi
  • PondEngle Lake8 mi