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  • Forecast
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Forecast
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© 2026·AI-powered bite forecast
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United States / New York / Lake Flavia

Bite forecast: Lake Flavia

  • 194 acres
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Best fishing days for the next week

  1. MondaySeptember 7weather-based forecast
    77/100high activity

    Clear: 48–73 °F

  2. FridaySeptember 4weather-based forecast
    65/100high activity

    Clear: 57–73 °F

  3. TuesdaySeptember 8weather-based forecast
    61/100high activity

    Clear: 55–75 °F

Nearby towns

  • Gowanda7 mi

Lake Flavia (New York) — a popular fishing spot. About 79 ha in area. Nearest town — Gowanda. This page shows an hourly bite forecast for today and the week ahead; the algorithm factors in the weather, atmospheric pressure, and the moon phase.

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Nearby rivers

  • Conewango Creek0.8 mi
  • West Branch Conewango Creek4 mi
  • South Branch Cattaraugus Creek5 mi
  • Mud Creek8 mi

Nearby water bodies

  • LakeConewango Swamp0.3 mi
  • LakeConewango Swamp0.5 mi
  • LakeConewango Swamp0.6 mi
  • ReservoirNew Albion Lake6 mi
  • LakeEast Mud Lake7 mi
  • ReservoirSilver Creek Reservoir9 mi
  • PondHolcomb Pond9 mi

Bite calendar

Aug 31 – Sep 6
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
Bite activity:highmediumlowslow
Based on:weatherseasonal
What is a bite calendar?
Coho salmonYellow perchBrook troutMuskellungePikeSmallmouth bassWalleyeWhite bassBluegillCarpChannel catfishLargemouth bassStriped bassWhitefishRainbow troutSteelheadBlack crappieChinook salmonWhite crappieLake troutBurbot

Black crappie

5/10 · Fair

Hourly activity

0:006:0012:0018:0023:00
Bite activity:highmediumlow

The bite is moderate — fish feed in short bursts. Pressure is dropping — this usually boosts the bite.

Peak bite hours

Best time — 06:00–08:00 (dawn bite) and 19:00–21:00 (dusk bite).

Tactics

Look for drop-offs and gaps in the weeds, retrieve slowly, lingering over promising spots.

Lures

In clear water, natural colors work best: small jig or minnow bait.

Gear

Pack transitional-season clothing — mornings and evenings are chilly.

Summary

An average day — best chances during peak windows.

How this forecast is calculated

Why this forecast

The computed water temperature is around 64 °F — inside the 57–75 °F comfort range for Black crappie, so baseline activity is high.

Computed water temperature by month; the green band is the 57–75 °F comfort rangecomfort 57–75 °F64 °F
JFMAMJJASOND

Black crappie works the twilight: the peaks are pinned to sunrise and sunset — their times are in the sun-and-moon card above.

The day: daylight hours and when Black crappie feeds0:0012:0024:00

Pressure is dropping 0.06 inHg over the day — fish are usually more active ahead of a weather change.

Pressure through the day, 0.06 inHg change
00:00 · 29.9223:00 · 29.86 inHg

One more input — the moon's feeding windows: within their hours the score sits higher than across the rest of the day. The window times are in the “Solunar feeding periods” card below.

Feeding windows on the day scale0:0012:0024:00

September is an active season for Black crappie here.

JFMAMJJASOND

These are the same values the bite curve above was computed from. How the forecast works

4 SepFriday, September 4
+73°

Clear · feels like +72°

Low / high
+52°…+73°
Precipitation
0.00 in
Wind
10 mph WNW
Cloud cover
5%
Humidity
54%
Pressure
29.84 inHg
00:00+58°—5 mphsouthwest wind, 5 mph89%97%
01:00+58°—4 mphsouthwest wind, 4 mph90%100%
02:00+58°—4 mphsouthwest wind, 4 mph90%100%
03:00+58°—5 mphsouthwest wind, 5 mph92%100%
04:00+58°—5 mphsouthwest wind, 5 mph93%100%
05:00+57°—5 mphsouthwest wind, 5 mph95%100%
06:00+57°—5 mphsouthwest wind, 5 mph96%75%
07:00+57°—4 mphsouthwest wind, 4 mph95%19%
08:00+62°—4 mphsouthwest wind, 4 mph85%10%
09:00+67°—6 mphwest wind, 6 mph78%11%
10:00+69°—9 mphwest wind, 9 mph72%74%
11:00+71°—10 mphnorthwest wind, 10 mph60%5%
12:00+73°—10 mphnorthwest wind, 10 mph54%5%
13:00+73°—11 mphnorthwest wind, 11 mph53%8%
14:00+73°—11 mphnorthwest wind, 11 mph55%100%
15:00+73°—11 mphnorthwest wind, 11 mph56%100%
16:00+72°—11 mphnorthwest wind, 11 mph60%100%
17:00+69°—11 mphnorthwest wind, 11 mph69%100%
18:00+67°—11 mphnorthwest wind, 11 mph74%100%
19:00+64°—10 mphnorthwest wind, 10 mph79%79%
20:00+60°—7 mphnorthwest wind, 7 mph89%25%
21:00+58°—7 mphnorthwest wind, 7 mph91%0%
22:00+55°—5 mphnorthwest wind, 5 mph93%0%
23:00+52°—5 mphwest wind, 5 mph96%0%
+73°+63°+52°
Weather throughout the day
0:006:0012:0018:0023:00

Sun and moon

Friday, September 4
The day: daylight and the hours the moon is above the horizon. Local time0:0012:0024:00
DaylightMoon above the horizon
Sunrise
06:26
Sunset
19:27
Day length
13 h 1 min
Sunshine hours
12 h 16 min
UV index
6
high
Moon
Last quarter
Moonrise
23:56
Moonset
15:21

The day is 3 min shorter than yesterday.

Sunshine hours count direct sun only — cloud cover cuts it, so it is shorter than daylight.

Solunar feeding periods

+12% in the windowFriday, September 4
Feeding windows on the day scale, local time0:0012:0024:00
Major periodsMinor periods
  • Major06:08–08:08Moon overhead
  • Minor14:51–15:51Moonset
  • Major18:39–20:39Moon underfoot
  • Minor23:26–00:00Moonrise

The windows are set by the moon's transit and rise, and the forecast above already accounts for them: within these hours the bite score sits higher than across the rest of the day, while the day's overall level still comes from the catch-calibrated model.

What are solunar periods?