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© 2026·AI-powered bite forecast
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United States / Virginia / River Difficult Run

Bite forecast: River Difficult Run

  • length 1 mi
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Best fishing days for the next week

  1. WednesdaySeptember 9weather-based forecast
    56/100medium activity

    Clear: 57–90 °F

River Difficult Run (Virginia) — one of the area's fishing spots. About 1 km long. Nearby towns: Fairfax and Arlington. This page shows an hourly bite forecast for today and the week ahead; the algorithm factors in the weather, atmospheric pressure, and the moon phase.

ThursdaySeptember 10weather-based forecast
56/100medium activity

Partly cloudy: 63–93 °F

  • TuesdaySeptember 8weather-based forecast
    53/100medium activity

    Cloudy: 52–81 °F

  • Nearby towns

    • Fairfax10 mi
    • Arlington10 mi
    Loading map…

    Bite calendar

    7–Sep 13
    Mon
    Tue
    Wed
    Thu
    Fri
    Sat
    Sun
    Bite activity:highmediumlowslow
    Based on:weatherseasonal
    What is a bite calendar?
    Striped bassSmallmouth bassWalleyeWhite bassBlack crappieBrook troutWhite crappieBlue catfishBluegillCarpChannel catfishFlathead catfishLargemouth bassRainbow troutSpotted bass

    Black crappie

    7/10 · Good

    Hourly activity

    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00
    Bite activity:highmediumlow

    The bite is strong — fish are active. Pressure is dropping — this usually boosts the bite.

    Peak bite hours

    Best time — 06:00–08:00 (dawn bite) and 19:00–21:00 (dusk bite).

    Tactics

    Work the cover — snags, weed edges, hole entrances; retrieve the lure with pauses.

    Lures

    In clear water, natural colors work best: small jig or minnow bait.

    Gear

    It's a hot day — a hat, sunglasses, and plenty of water are a must.

    Summary

    Worth going — it's a productive day.

    How this forecast is calculated

    Why this forecast

    The computed water temperature is around 71 °F — inside the 57–75 °F comfort range for Black crappie, so baseline activity is high.

    Computed water temperature by month; the green band is the 57–75 °F comfort rangecomfort 57–75 °F71 °F
    JFMAMJJASOND

    Black crappie works the twilight: the peaks are pinned to sunrise and sunset — their times are in the sun-and-moon card above.

    The day: daylight hours and when Black crappie feeds0:0012:0024:00

    Pressure is dropping 0.24 inHg over the day — fish are usually more active ahead of a weather change.

    Pressure through the day, 0.24 inHg change
    00:00 · 30.0723:00 · 29.83 inHg

    One more input — the moon's feeding windows: within their hours the score sits higher than across the rest of the day. The window times are in the “Solunar feeding periods” card below.

    Feeding windows on the day scale0:0012:0024:00

    September is an active season for Black crappie here.

    JFMAMJJASOND

    These are the same values the bite curve above was computed from. How the forecast works

    10 SepThursday, September 10
    +88°

    Partly cloudy · feels like +87°

    Low / high
    +63°…+94°
    Precipitation
    0.00 in
    Wind
    12 mph WNW
    Cloud cover
    48%
    Humidity
    43%
    Pressure
    29.95 inHg
    00:00+66°—3 mphsouthwest wind, 3 mph73%48%
    01:00+65°—3 mphsouthwest wind, 3 mph75%47%
    02:00+65°—3 mphwest wind, 3 mph77%41%
    03:00+64°—3 mphwest wind, 3 mph79%28%
    04:00+64°—4 mphwest wind, 4 mph80%12%
    05:00+63°—4 mphwest wind, 4 mph81%2%
    06:00+63°—4 mphwest wind, 4 mph83%5%
    07:00+63°—3 mphwest wind, 3 mph84%15%
    08:00+65°—3 mphwest wind, 3 mph82%23%
    09:00+71°—5 mphwest wind, 5 mph73%24%
    10:00+78°—8 mphwest wind, 8 mph60%24%
    11:00+84°—11 mphwest wind, 11 mph49%30%
    12:00+88°—12 mphwest wind, 12 mph43%48%
    13:00+90°—13 mphwest wind, 13 mph39%72%
    14:00+92°—13 mphwest wind, 13 mph37%90%
    15:00+93°—14 mphwest wind, 14 mph35%98%
    16:00+94°—14 mphwest wind, 14 mph34%100%
    17:00+92°—13 mphwest wind, 13 mph36%100%
    18:00+89°—10 mphwest wind, 10 mph43%96%
    19:00+84°—6 mphwest wind, 6 mph53%89%
    20:00+79°—3 mphsouthwest wind, 3 mph61%85%
    21:00+77°—2 mphsouthwest wind, 2 mph66%90%
    22:00+74°—3 mphwest wind, 3 mph70%98%
    23:00+73°—3 mphwest wind, 3 mph74%100%
    +94°+78°+63°
    Weather throughout the day
    0:006:0012:0018:0023:00

    Sun and moon

    Thursday, September 10
    The day: daylight and the hours the moon is above the horizon. Local time0:0012:0024:00
    DaylightMoon above the horizon
    Sunrise
    06:55
    Sunset
    19:33
    Day length
    12 h 38 min
    Sunshine hours
    12 h 10 min
    UV index
    5
    moderate
    Moon
    Waning crescent
    Moonrise
    06:04
    Moonset
    19:06

    The day is 2 min shorter than yesterday.

    Sunshine hours count direct sun only — cloud cover cuts it, so it is shorter than daylight.

    Solunar feeding periods

    +14% in the windowThursday, September 10
    Feeding windows on the day scale, local time0:0012:0024:00
    Major periodsMinor periods
    • Major00:00–01:17Moon underfoot
    • Minor05:34–06:34Moonrise
    • Major11:41–13:41Moon overhead
    • Minor18:36–19:36Moonset

    The windows are set by the moon's transit and rise, and the forecast above already accounts for them: within these hours the bite score sits higher than across the rest of the day, while the day's overall level still comes from the catch-calibrated model.

    What are solunar periods?

    Nearby rivers

    • Potomac River1 mi
    • Watts Branch5 mi

    Nearby water bodies

    • LakeWoodside Like2 mi
    • ReservoirGreat Falls Estate Lake2 mi
    • LakeArnon Lake3 mi
    • LakeSpring Lake4 mi
    • ReservoirLake Fairfax4 mi
    • ReservoirLake Anne5 mi
    • PondButler Pond5 mi
    • LakeBright Pond5 mi
    • PondLake Newport6 mi
    • ReservoirLake Thoreau6 mi

    Measured river conditions are available for Difficult Run: current gauge height, streamflow, and water temperature when reported by the source.

    Water

    Gauge height
    3.79 ft
    Streamflow
    120 ft³/s
    Water temp · measured
    77 °F
    In the model
    71 °F

    USGS gauge DIFFICULT RUN NEAR GREAT FALLS, VA, 0.3 mi away · measured 2026-09-04 14:15 · data source · provisional data, subject to revision